A Escola das Odds

Al-Fayha v Al-Nassr

Início: 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

29 casas de apostas (7 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Al-Fayha (Local)

Previsão 9.29%10.77odd justa
EV +11.45%
Vantagem +0.954%
Kelly +1.04%
Crescimento +0.119%

pressupondo odds máximas de 12.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.08%9.36%9.27%10.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
8.5010.2410.0012.0011.76%9.77%10.00%8.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Nassr (Visitante)

Previsão 74.73%1.34odd justa
EV -4.34%
Vantagem -3.39%
Kelly -15.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.86%74.63%74.60%76.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.141.211.201.2887.72%82.81%83.33%78.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 15.98%6.26odd justa
EV +3.05%
Vantagem +0.473%
Kelly +0.560%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.63%16.02%16.13%17.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.005.765.806.4520.00%17.37%17.24%15.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (29 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +11.45%E +0.954%K +1.04%G +0.119%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.45%EV -5.09%E -4.01%K -18.84%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.46%EV +0.338%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-28 18:50
Unibet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:20
Unibet (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:20
Grosvenor11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:20
Unibet (NL)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:19
ATG (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:20
Svenska Spel11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:19
LeoVegas11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -11.07%E -9.30%K -58.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -4.14%E -0.689%K -0.827%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -11.07%E -9.30%K -58.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -4.14%E -0.689%K -0.827%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 18:19
SportsBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -11.81%E -10.01%K -65.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -4.14%E -0.689%K -0.827%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 18:39
Paddy Power11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -11.81%E -10.01%K -65.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -4.14%E -0.689%K -0.827%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 18:38
LiveScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005%1.16I 86.21%NM 76.60%EV -13.31%E -11.47%K -83.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -7.33%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 18:20
Virgin Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005%1.16I 86.21%NM 76.60%EV -13.31%E -11.47%K -83.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -7.33%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 18:20
Pinnacle10.92I 9.16%NM 8.64%EV +1.42%E +0.130%K +0.143%G +0.002%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.73%EV -8.08%E -6.57%K -35.11%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.63%EV +3.05%E +0.473%K +0.560%G +0.017%6.0%2026-02-28 18:54
Unibet (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -8.08%E -6.57%K -35.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -8.13%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 18:49
Tipico (DE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -6.58%E -5.27%K -26.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -15.32%E -2.89%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 06:19
Betclic (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 8.72%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 76.50%EV -14.80%E -12.98%K -105.73%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.78%EV -5.73%E -0.972%K -1.17%G +0.000%14.7%2026-02-28 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 74.02%EV -12.56%E -10.74%K -73.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.32%EV -20.11%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-28 18:54
Coral9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -4.34%E -3.39%K -15.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -8.13%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 18:29
Sky Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.13%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 18:40
888sport9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -8.82%E -7.23%K -40.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.11%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 18:50
William Hill9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -8.82%E -7.23%K -40.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.11%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 18:55
888sport (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -8.82%E -7.23%K -40.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.11%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 18:49
Mr Green (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -8.82%E -7.23%K -40.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.11%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 18:50
Unibet (FR)9.45I 10.58%NM 9.45%EV -12.23%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.45%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.10%EV -11.33%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -4.34%E -3.39%K -15.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -8.13%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 18:30
Winamax (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.82%E -7.23%K -40.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -4.14%E -0.689%K -0.827%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 18:49
BoyleSports9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.12%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-28 18:34
Winamax (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -21.05%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.02%EV -9.57%E -7.91%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -7.33%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-28 18:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.74%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%0.8%2026-02-28 18:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.74%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%0.8%2026-02-28 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.74%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%0.8%2026-02-28 18:55
Smarkets13.50I 7.41%NM 7.25%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.40%2.1%2026-02-28 18:54