A Escola das Odds

Al-Fayha v Al-Hilal

Início: 2026-05-21 18:02 UTC

Final: Al-Fayha 0–1 Al-Hilal

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

31 casas de apostas (7 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Al-Fayha (Local)

Previsão 9.35%10.69odd justa
EV +21.59%
Vantagem +1.66%
Kelly +1.80%
Crescimento +0.389%

pressupondo odds máximas de 13.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.07%9.38%9.29%11.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
8.4210.6510.0013.0011.88%9.39%10.00%7.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Hilal (Visitante)

Previsão 76.21%1.31odd justa
EV -3.22%
Vantagem -2.53%
Kelly -11.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.19%76.19%76.20%78.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.131.191.191.2788.50%84.22%84.03%78.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 14.44%6.93odd justa
EV +12.92%
Vantagem +1.65%
Kelly +1.89%
Crescimento +0.245%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.37%14.43%14.51%17.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.006.376.407.8220.00%15.71%15.63%12.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (31 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +21.59%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.389%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.57%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 17:54
Grosvenor13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +21.59%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.389%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.57%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 17:54
Unibet (NL)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +21.59%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.389%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.57%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 17:54
Unibet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +16.92%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.249%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -2.53%E -0.376%K -0.441%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 18:00
ATG (SE)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +16.92%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.249%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -2.53%E -0.376%K -0.441%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 18:00
Svenska Spel12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +16.92%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.249%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -2.53%E -0.376%K -0.441%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 18:00
LeoVegas12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV +16.92%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.249%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.49%EV -11.60%E -10.00%K -72.50%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-21 17:54
LiveScore Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -9.31%E -7.83%K -49.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-21 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -11.60%E -10.00%K -72.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-21 18:00
Virgin Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%1.14I 87.72%NM 78.55%EV -13.12%E -11.51%K -93.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.99%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 18:00
PMU (FR)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.36%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136%1.13I 88.50%NM 78.16%EV -13.89%E -12.29%K -106.81%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -11.92%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-21 17:54
Pinnacle11.15I 8.97%NM 8.48%EV +4.29%E +0.385%K +0.423%G +0.018%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.77%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000%7.41I 13.50%NM 12.76%EV +7.00%E +0.944%K +1.09%G +0.076%5.8%2026-05-21 17:59
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.89%E +0.262%K +0.289%G +0.008%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV +1.08%E +0.154%K +0.179%G +0.002%8.8%2026-05-21 18:00
SportsBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV +2.89%E +0.262%K +0.289%G +0.008%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -11.60%E -10.00%K -72.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-21 18:00
Winamax (DE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.188%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 18:00
Coral10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.74%E -3.79%K -18.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.74%E -3.79%K -18.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 18:00
Unibet (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.26%E -5.09%K -27.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 17:59
betfred_uk10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.03%E -5.76%K -31.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-21 17:59
Betclic (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.63%EV -9.31%E -7.83%K -49.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.25%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-21 17:47
Unibet (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.93%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-21 18:00
Paddy Power10.00I 10.00%NM 8.84%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 77.56%EV -13.12%E -11.51%K -93.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-21 17:59
Winamax (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.01%EV -9.31%E -7.83%K -49.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -9.75%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-21 18:00
Sky Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.32%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.29%EV -9.75%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-21 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 73.19%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -27.80%E -5.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-21 18:00
William Hill8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-21 18:00
888sport8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-21 17:59
888sport (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-21 17:59
Mr Green (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-21 17:59
BoyleSports8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 73.56%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -20.58%E -3.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-21 18:00
1xBet8.42I 11.88%NM 11.49%EV -21.25%E -2.52%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.15%EV -3.22%E -2.53%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.82I 12.79%NM 12.37%EV +12.92%E +1.65%K +1.89%G +0.245%3.4%2026-05-21 17:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.35%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05%1.2%2026-05-21 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.58%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.10%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.32%1.5%2026-05-21 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.86%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.8%2026-05-21 18:00
Kalshi12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.38%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%2.0%2026-05-21 18:00
Smarkets11.49I 8.70%NM 8.46%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.07%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.47%2.8%2026-05-21 18:00