La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Al-Fayha v Al-Hilal
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Fayha (Local)
Predicción 9.35%10.69momio equitativo
EV +21.59%
Ventaja +1.66%
Kelly +1.80%
Crecimiento +0.389%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.07%9.38%9.29%11.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.4210.6510.0013.0011.88%9.39%10.00%7.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Hilal (Visitante)
Predicción 76.21%1.31momio equitativo
EV -3.22%
Ventaja -2.53%
Kelly -11.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.19%76.19%76.20%78.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.131.191.191.2788.50%84.22%84.03%78.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 14.44%6.93momio equitativo
EV +12.92%
Ventaja +1.65%
Kelly +1.89%
Crecimiento +0.245%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.37%14.43%14.51%17.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.006.376.407.8220.00%15.71%15.63%12.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +21.59%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.389% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.57%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +21.59%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.389% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.57%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +21.59%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.389% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.57%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Unibet | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +16.92%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.249% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -2.53%E -0.376%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +16.92%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.249% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -2.53%E -0.376%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +16.92%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.249% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -2.53%E -0.376%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV +16.92%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.249% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.49%EV -11.60%E -10.00%K -72.50%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -9.31%E -7.83%K -49.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -11.60%E -10.00%K -72.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.55%EV -13.12%E -11.51%K -93.74%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.99%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.36%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.16%EV -13.89%E -12.29%K -106.81%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -11.92%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Pinnacle | 11.15I 8.97%NM 8.48%EV +4.29%E +0.385%K +0.423%G +0.018% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.77%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 12.76%EV +7.00%E +0.944%K +1.09%G +0.076% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.89%E +0.262%K +0.289%G +0.008% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV +1.08%E +0.154%K +0.179%G +0.002% | 8.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV +2.89%E +0.262%K +0.289%G +0.008% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -11.60%E -10.00%K -72.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Coral | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.74%E -3.79%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.74%E -3.79%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.26%E -5.09%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| betfred_uk | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.03%E -5.76%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.63%EV -9.31%E -7.83%K -49.02%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.25%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 17:47 |
| Unibet (FR) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.93%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.84%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.56%EV -13.12%E -11.51%K -93.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.01%EV -9.31%E -7.83%K -49.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -9.75%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.32%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.29%EV -9.75%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.19%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -27.80%E -5.56%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| William Hill | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 888sport | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| BoyleSports | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.56%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -20.58%E -3.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 1xBet | 8.42I 11.88%NM 11.49%EV -21.25%E -2.52%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.15%EV -3.22%E -2.53%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 7.82I 12.79%NM 12.37%EV +12.92%E +1.65%K +1.89%G +0.245% | 3.4% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.35% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05% | 1.2% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.58% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.10% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.32% | 1.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.86% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28% | 1.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.38% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77% | 2.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.46% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.07% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.47% | 2.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |