مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Al-Fayha v Al-Hilal
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Al-Fayha (المضيف)
التنبؤ 9.35%10.69السعر العادل
EV +21.59%
الأفضلية +1.66%
Kelly +1.80%
النمو +0.389%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 13.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.07%9.38%9.29%11.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.4210.6510.0013.0011.88%9.39%10.00%7.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Al-Hilal (الضيف)
التنبؤ 76.21%1.31السعر العادل
EV -3.22%
الأفضلية -2.53%
Kelly -11.91%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.27
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
73.19%76.19%76.20%78.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.131.191.191.2788.50%84.22%84.03%78.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 14.44%6.93السعر العادل
EV +12.92%
الأفضلية +1.65%
Kelly +1.89%
النمو +0.245%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.82
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.37%14.43%14.51%17.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.006.376.407.8220.00%15.71%15.63%12.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (31 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +21.59%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.389% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.57%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +21.59%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.389% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.57%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +21.59%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.389% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.57%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Unibet | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +16.92%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.249% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -2.53%E -0.376%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +16.92%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.249% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -2.53%E -0.376%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +16.92%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.249% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -2.53%E -0.376%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV +16.92%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.249% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.49%EV -11.60%E -10.00%K -72.50%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -9.31%E -7.83%K -49.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -11.60%E -10.00%K -72.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.55%EV -13.12%E -11.51%K -93.74%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.99%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.36%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.16%EV -13.89%E -12.29%K -106.81%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -11.92%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Pinnacle | 11.15I 8.97%NM 8.48%EV +4.29%E +0.385%K +0.423%G +0.018% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.77%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 12.76%EV +7.00%E +0.944%K +1.09%G +0.076% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.89%E +0.262%K +0.289%G +0.008% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV +1.08%E +0.154%K +0.179%G +0.002% | 8.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV +2.89%E +0.262%K +0.289%G +0.008% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -11.60%E -10.00%K -72.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Coral | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.74%E -3.79%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.74%E -3.79%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.26%E -5.09%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| betfred_uk | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.03%E -5.76%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.63%EV -9.31%E -7.83%K -49.02%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.25%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 17:47 |
| Unibet (FR) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.93%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.84%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.56%EV -13.12%E -11.51%K -93.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.01%EV -9.31%E -7.83%K -49.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -9.75%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.32%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.29%EV -9.75%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.19%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -27.80%E -5.56%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| William Hill | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 888sport | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| BoyleSports | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.56%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -20.58%E -3.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 1xBet | 8.42I 11.88%NM 11.49%EV -21.25%E -2.52%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.15%EV -3.22%E -2.53%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 7.82I 12.79%NM 12.37%EV +12.92%E +1.65%K +1.89%G +0.245% | 3.4% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.35% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05% | 1.2% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.58% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.10% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.32% | 1.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.86% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28% | 1.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.38% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77% | 2.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.46% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.07% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.47% | 2.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |