L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Fayha v Al-Hilal
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Fayha (Local)
Prévision 9.35%10.69cote équitable
EV +21.59%
Avantage +1.66%
Kelly +1.80%
Croissance +0.389%
avec la cote maximale 13.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.07%9.38%9.29%11.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.4210.6510.0013.0011.88%9.39%10.00%7.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Hilal (Visiteur)
Prévision 76.21%1.31cote équitable
EV -3.22%
Avantage -2.53%
Kelly -11.91%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.19%76.19%76.20%78.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.191.191.2788.50%84.22%84.03%78.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 14.44%6.93cote équitable
EV +12.92%
Avantage +1.65%
Kelly +1.89%
Croissance +0.245%
avec la cote maximale 7.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.37%14.43%14.51%17.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.376.407.8220.00%15.71%15.63%12.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +21.59%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.389% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.57%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +21.59%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.389% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.57%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +21.59%E +1.66%K +1.80%G +0.389% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.57%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Unibet | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +16.92%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.249% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -2.53%E -0.376%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +16.92%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.249% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -2.53%E -0.376%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +16.92%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.249% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -2.53%E -0.376%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV +16.92%E +1.35%K +1.47%G +0.249% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.49%EV -11.60%E -10.00%K -72.50%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -9.31%E -7.83%K -49.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -11.60%E -10.00%K -72.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.55%EV -13.12%E -11.51%K -93.74%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.99%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.36%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.16%EV -13.89%E -12.29%K -106.81%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -11.92%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Pinnacle | 11.15I 8.97%NM 8.48%EV +4.29%E +0.385%K +0.423%G +0.018% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.77%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 12.76%EV +7.00%E +0.944%K +1.09%G +0.076% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.89%E +0.262%K +0.289%G +0.008% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV +1.08%E +0.154%K +0.179%G +0.002% | 8.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV +2.89%E +0.262%K +0.289%G +0.008% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -11.60%E -10.00%K -72.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -1.79%E -0.171%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Coral | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.74%E -3.79%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.74%E -3.79%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.26%E -5.09%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| betfred_uk | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.03%E -5.76%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.63%EV -9.31%E -7.83%K -49.02%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.25%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 17:47 |
| Unibet (FR) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.93%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.84%EV -6.47%E -0.647%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.56%EV -13.12%E -11.51%K -93.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -6.14%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.01%EV -9.31%E -7.83%K -49.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -9.75%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.32%EV -10.84%E -9.26%K -63.75%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.29%EV -9.75%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.19%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -27.80%E -5.56%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| William Hill | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 888sport | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -13.36%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| BoyleSports | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -20.50%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.56%EV -8.55%E -7.13%K -42.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -20.58%E -3.74%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 1xBet | 8.42I 11.88%NM 11.49%EV -21.25%E -2.52%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.15%EV -3.22%E -2.53%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 7.82I 12.79%NM 12.37%EV +12.92%E +1.65%K +1.89%G +0.245% | 3.4% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.35% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05% | 1.2% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.58% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.10% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.32% | 1.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.86% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28% | 1.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.38% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77% | 2.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.46% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.07% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.47% | 2.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |