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Al-Ettifaq v Al-Qadsiah
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Ettifaq (Local)
Prediction 14.14%7.07fair odd
EV +6.09%
Edge +0.812%
Kelly +0.936%
Growth +0.057%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.14%14.22%14.09%15.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.766.857.5018.18%14.79%14.60%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Qadsiah (Visit)
Prediction 68.53%1.46fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -8.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.86%68.27%68.62%70.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.321.321.4179.37%75.57%75.76%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.33%5.77fair odd
EV -4.70%
Edge -0.854%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.53%17.51%17.28%20.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.335.135.205.5023.09%19.50%19.23%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Ettifaq (Local): 14.14%; Al-Qadsiah (Visit): 68.53%; Draw: 17.33%. For Al-Ettifaq (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.07. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 17:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -11.63%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -11.63%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.43I 13.46%NM 13.09%EV +5.10%E +0.686%K +0.793%G +0.040% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.99%EV -3.38%E -2.40%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.92%EV -5.91%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.08I 14.12%NM 13.35%EV +0.146%E +0.021%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.48%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 17:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -0.985%E -0.141%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 17:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -0.985%E -0.141%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -11.60%E -8.99%K -40.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -0.985%E -0.141%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -12.97%E -10.21%K -48.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -0.985%E -0.141%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -12.97%E -10.21%K -48.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.57%EV -0.985%E -0.141%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.83%EV -13.66%E -10.84%K -52.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV -5.23%E -0.780%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.59%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.03%EV -4.06%E -2.90%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.03%EV -4.06%E -2.90%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 15:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.27%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.75%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-05 17:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.66%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -24.97%E -5.77%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.32%EV -10.89%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.34%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.35%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.13%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.96%EV -8.17%E -6.10%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -6.43%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 17:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -15.13%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.86%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -20.29%E -4.41%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -15.13%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -20.29%E -4.41%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-05 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -15.13%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -20.29%E -4.41%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-05 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -15.13%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -20.29%E -4.41%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-05 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -17.96%E -3.10%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.34%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.85%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.22%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -22.20%E -4.04%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.22%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.12%EV -17.69%E -3.72%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-05 17:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.25% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.25% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.30% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.83% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.87% | 1.6% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.97% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.66% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.36% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.56% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 17:45 |