L’École des cotes

Al-Ettifaq v Al-Qadsiah

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

30 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Ettifaq (Local)

Prévision 14.14%7.07cote équitable
EV +6.09%
Avantage +0.812%
Kelly +0.936%
Croissance +0.057%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.14%14.22%14.09%15.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.766.857.5018.18%14.79%14.60%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Qadsiah (Visiteur)

Prévision 68.53%1.46cote équitable
EV -3.38%
Avantage -2.40%
Kelly -8.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.86%68.27%68.62%70.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.261.321.321.4179.37%75.57%75.76%70.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.33%5.77cote équitable
EV -4.70%
Avantage -0.854%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.53%17.51%17.28%20.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.335.135.205.5023.09%19.50%19.23%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 17:54
Grosvenor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 17:55
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 17:54
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 17:54
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 17:55
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 17:55
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -11.63%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -11.63%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 17:50
1xBet7.43I 13.46%NM 13.09%EV +5.10%E +0.686%K +0.793%G +0.040%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.99%EV -3.38%E -2.40%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.92%EV -5.91%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 17:50
Pinnacle7.08I 14.12%NM 13.35%EV +0.146%E +0.021%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.48%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 17:45
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -0.985%E -0.141%K -0.164%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 17:39
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -0.985%E -0.141%K -0.164%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -11.60%E -8.99%K -40.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 17:40
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -0.985%E -0.141%K -0.164%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -12.97%E -10.21%K -48.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-05 17:55
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -0.985%E -0.141%K -0.164%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -12.97%E -10.21%K -48.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-05 17:55
PMU (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.57%EV -0.985%E -0.141%K -0.164%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 69.83%EV -13.66%E -10.84%K -52.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-05 17:55
Tipico (DE)6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV -5.23%E -0.780%K -0.917%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.59%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 17:45
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.03%EV -4.06%E -2.90%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.03%EV -4.06%E -2.90%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 15:49
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.27%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 17:50
Betclic (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.75%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 17:55
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.66%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -24.97%E -5.77%K -7.50%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-05 15:55
Unibet (FR)6.30I 15.87%NM 14.32%EV -10.89%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.34%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.35%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-05 17:55
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.13%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.96%EV -8.17%E -6.10%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -6.43%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 17:49
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -15.13%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.86%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -20.29%E -4.41%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 17:55
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -15.13%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -20.29%E -4.41%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-05 17:50
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -15.13%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -20.29%E -4.41%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-05 17:50
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -15.13%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -20.29%E -4.41%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-05 17:50
Winamax (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -17.96%E -3.10%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.34%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.22%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 17:50
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -22.20%E -4.04%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.22%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.12%EV -17.69%E -3.72%K -4.72%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-05 17:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.25%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-04-05 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.25%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-04-05 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.30%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.83%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.87%1.6%2026-04-05 17:55
Smarkets8.20I 12.20%NM 11.97%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.66%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.36%1.9%2026-04-05 17:55
Kalshi7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.56%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%2.0%2026-04-05 17:45