La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Ettifaq v Al-Qadsiah
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Ettifaq (Local)
Predicción 14.14%7.07momio equitativo
EV +6.09%
Ventaja +0.812%
Kelly +0.936%
Crecimiento +0.057%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.14%14.22%14.09%15.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.766.857.5018.18%14.79%14.60%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Qadsiah (Visitante)
Predicción 68.53%1.46momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -2.40%
Kelly -8.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.86%68.27%68.62%70.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.261.321.321.4179.37%75.57%75.76%70.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 17.33%5.77momio equitativo
EV -4.70%
Ventaja -0.854%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.53%17.51%17.28%20.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.335.135.205.5023.09%19.50%19.23%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| LeoVegas | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -11.63%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -11.63%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 17:50 |
| 1xBet | 7.43I 13.46%NM 13.09%EV +5.10%E +0.686%K +0.793%G +0.040% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.99%EV -3.38%E -2.40%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.92%EV -5.91%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 17:50 |
| Pinnacle | 7.08I 14.12%NM 13.35%EV +0.146%E +0.021%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.48%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 17:45 |
| SportsBet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -0.985%E -0.141%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 17:39 |
| Paddy Power | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -0.985%E -0.141%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -11.60%E -8.99%K -40.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -0.985%E -0.141%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -12.97%E -10.21%K -48.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -0.985%E -0.141%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -12.97%E -10.21%K -48.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.57%EV -0.985%E -0.141%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.83%EV -13.66%E -10.84%K -52.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV -5.23%E -0.780%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.59%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 17:45 |
| Coral | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.03%EV -4.06%E -2.90%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.03%EV -4.06%E -2.90%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 15:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.27%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.75%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Sky Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-05 17:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.66%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -24.97%E -5.77%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-05 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.32%EV -10.89%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.34%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.35%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.13%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.96%EV -8.17%E -6.10%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -6.43%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 17:49 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -15.13%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.86%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -20.29%E -4.41%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -15.13%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -20.29%E -4.41%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-05 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -15.13%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -20.29%E -4.41%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-05 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -15.13%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -20.29%E -4.41%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-05 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -17.96%E -3.10%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.34%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.85%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.22%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 17:50 |
| BoyleSports | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -22.20%E -4.04%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.22%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.12%EV -17.69%E -3.72%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-05 17:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.25% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.25% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.30% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.83% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.87% | 1.6% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.97% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.66% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.36% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 17:55 |
| Kalshi | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.56% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 17:45 |