A Escola das Odds

Al-Ettifaq v Al-Qadsiah

Início: 2026-04-05 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

30 casas de apostas (6 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Al-Ettifaq (Local)

Previsão 14.14%7.07odd justa
EV +6.09%
Vantagem +0.812%
Kelly +0.936%
Crescimento +0.057%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.14%14.22%14.09%15.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.506.766.857.5018.18%14.79%14.60%13.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Qadsiah (Visitante)

Previsão 68.53%1.46odd justa
EV -3.38%
Vantagem -2.40%
Kelly -8.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.86%68.27%68.62%70.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.261.321.321.4179.37%75.57%75.76%70.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 17.33%5.77odd justa
EV -4.70%
Vantagem -0.854%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.53%17.51%17.28%20.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.335.135.205.5023.09%19.50%19.23%18.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (30 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 17:54
Grosvenor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 17:55
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 17:54
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 17:54
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 17:55
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 17:55
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -11.63%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV +6.09%E +0.812%K +0.936%G +0.057%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -11.63%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 17:50
1xBet7.43I 13.46%NM 13.09%EV +5.10%E +0.686%K +0.793%G +0.040%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.99%EV -3.38%E -2.40%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.92%EV -5.91%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 17:50
Pinnacle7.08I 14.12%NM 13.35%EV +0.146%E +0.021%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.48%EV -6.80%E -5.00%K -18.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 17:45
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -0.985%E -0.141%K -0.164%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 17:39
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -0.985%E -0.141%K -0.164%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -11.60%E -8.99%K -40.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 17:40
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -0.985%E -0.141%K -0.164%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -12.97%E -10.21%K -48.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-05 17:55
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -0.985%E -0.141%K -0.164%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -12.97%E -10.21%K -48.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-05 17:55
PMU (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.57%EV -0.985%E -0.141%K -0.164%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 69.83%EV -13.66%E -10.84%K -52.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-05 17:55
Tipico (DE)6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV -5.23%E -0.780%K -0.917%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.59%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 17:45
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.03%EV -4.06%E -2.90%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.03%EV -4.06%E -2.90%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -4.70%E -0.854%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 15:49
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.27%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 17:50
Betclic (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.75%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 17:55
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -9.03%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.66%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -24.97%E -5.77%K -7.50%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-05 15:55
Unibet (FR)6.30I 15.87%NM 14.32%EV -10.89%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.34%EV -9.54%E -7.23%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.35%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-05 17:55
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.13%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.96%EV -8.17%E -6.10%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -6.43%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 17:49
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -15.13%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.86%EV -7.49%E -5.55%K -21.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -20.29%E -4.41%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 17:55
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -15.13%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -20.29%E -4.41%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-05 17:50
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -15.13%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -20.29%E -4.41%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-05 17:50
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -15.13%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -20.29%E -4.41%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-05 17:50
Winamax (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -17.96%E -3.10%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.34%EV -8.86%E -6.66%K -26.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.22%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 17:50
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -22.20%E -4.04%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.22%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.12%EV -17.69%E -3.72%K -4.72%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-05 17:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.25%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-04-05 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.25%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-04-05 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.30%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.83%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.87%1.6%2026-04-05 17:55
Smarkets8.20I 12.20%NM 11.97%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.66%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.36%1.9%2026-04-05 17:55
Kalshi7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.56%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%2.0%2026-04-05 17:45