Language:English
Al-Ettifaq v Al-Nassr
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Ettifaq (Local)
Prediction 10.67%9.37fair odd
EV +25.88%
Edge +2.19%
Kelly +2.40%
Growth +0.620%
assuming max odds 11.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.23%10.76%10.52%12.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.258.889.0011.8013.79%11.27%11.11%8.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Nassr (Visit)
Prediction 75.23%1.33fair odd
EV -5.96%
Edge -4.77%
Kelly -23.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.21%75.17%75.64%78.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.201.211.2587.72%83.08%82.99%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 14.10%7.09fair odd
EV +4.94%
Edge +0.663%
Kelly +0.766%
Growth +0.038%
assuming max odds 7.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.67%14.07%13.84%15.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.806.406.407.4417.24%15.63%15.63%13.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Ettifaq (Local): 10.67%; Al-Nassr (Visit): 75.23%; Draw: 14.10%. For Al-Ettifaq (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.37. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +25.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 11.80I 8.47%NM 8.23%EV +25.88%E +2.19%K +2.40%G +0.620% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.36%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -27.99%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.40%EV +2.26%E +0.311%K +0.361%G +0.008% | 2.9% | 2026-08-25 17:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.34%EV +4.01%E +0.411%K +0.458%G +0.018% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.17%EV -11.23%E -9.52%K -62.39%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV -4.80%E -0.711%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +1.34%E +0.141%K +0.158%G +0.002% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.60%EV -9.73%E -8.11%K -48.63%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.72%EV -5.50%E -0.821%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 17:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV +1.34%E +0.141%K +0.158%G +0.002% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -15.37%E -2.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV +1.34%E +0.141%K +0.158%G +0.002% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.74%EV -11.98%E -10.24%K -70.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -8.32%E -1.28%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV +1.34%E +0.141%K +0.158%G +0.002% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.74%EV -11.98%E -10.24%K -70.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -8.32%E -1.28%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.34I 10.71%NM 10.09%EV -0.366%E -0.039%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.24%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.37%G +0.000% | 7.44I 13.44%NM 12.67%EV +4.94%E +0.663%K +0.766%G +0.038% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.90%EV -5.96%E -4.77%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -1.27%E -0.182%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 17:53 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.56%EV -8.97%E -7.42%K -42.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -9.73%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-25 17:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.56%EV -8.97%E -7.42%K -42.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -9.73%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-25 17:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.56%EV -8.97%E -7.42%K -42.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -9.73%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-25 17:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.56%EV -8.97%E -7.42%K -42.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -9.73%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-25 17:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.56%EV -8.97%E -7.42%K -42.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -9.73%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-25 17:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.30%EV -8.97%E -7.42%K -42.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -11.85%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 17:56 |
| 888sport🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.73%E -8.11%K -48.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.37%E -2.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.73%E -8.11%K -48.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.37%E -2.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.73%E -8.11%K -48.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.37%E -2.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-25 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.73%E -8.11%K -48.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.37%E -2.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.43%EV -6.66%E -0.761%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.05%EV -9.73%E -8.11%K -48.63%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.52%EV -4.80%E -0.711%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-25 17:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -9.33%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.66%EV -5.96%E -4.77%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.32%E -1.28%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-25 17:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -9.33%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -5.96%E -4.77%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -15.37%E -2.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-25 17:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -9.33%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -9.73%E -8.11%K -48.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.40%EV -11.85%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -9.33%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.32%EV -11.23%E -9.52%K -62.39%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.22%EV -11.85%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-25 17:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -9.33%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.22%EV -11.98%E -10.24%K -70.49%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.43%EV -13.96%E -2.29%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-25 17:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -9.33%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.22%EV -11.98%E -10.24%K -70.49%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.43%EV -13.96%E -2.29%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-25 17:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.13%EV -9.33%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 75.52%EV -14.24%E -12.49%K -101.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.35%EV -15.37%E -2.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-08-25 17:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.11%EV -15.73%E -1.99%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.76%EV -10.48%E -8.81%K -55.15%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.13%EV -18.20%E -3.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-25 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -19.99%E -2.67%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.80%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -1.27%E -0.182%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-25 17:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -19.99%E -2.67%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.37%E -2.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-25 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.40%EV -22.66%E -3.13%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.29%EV -8.97%E -7.42%K -42.73%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -4.80%E -0.711%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 17:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.23% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-25 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.23% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-25 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.23% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.82% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.43% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75% | 2.0% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.89% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.24% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.87% | 2.2% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |