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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Al-Ettifaq v Al-Nassr

2026-08-25 18:00 UTC — Saudi Pro League

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Ettifaq (主队)

预测 11.93%8.38公平赔率
EV +2.58%
优势 +0.300%
Kelly +0.339%
增长率 +0.009%

假设最高赔率为 8.60

博彩公司预测分布
10.84%11.94%11.97%14.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.007.517.508.6016.67%13.31%13.33%11.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Nassr (客队)

预测 72.47%1.38公平赔率
EV -3.61%
优势 -2.71%
Kelly -10.94%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.33

博彩公司预测分布
70.17%72.54%72.54%74.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.191.251.251.3384.03%80.17%80.00%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 15.60%6.41公平赔率
EV +1.39%
优势 +0.214%
Kelly +0.253%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 6.50

博彩公司预测分布
14.36%15.52%15.50%16.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.405.805.606.5018.52%17.23%17.86%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Al-Ettifaq (主队)：11.93%；Al-Nassr (客队)：72.47%；平局：15.60%。 对于“Al-Ettifaq (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.38。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为8.60，由此产生+2.58%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 10.84%EV +2.58%E +0.300%K +0.339%G +0.009%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -8.68%E -6.89%K -33.40%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.14%EV -3.91%E -0.635%K -0.759%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +1.39%E +0.163%K +0.185%G +0.003%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.66%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +1.39%E +0.214%K +0.253%G +0.004%7.1%2026-08-23 10:10
SportsBet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.14%EV -1.59%E -0.193%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.15%EV -10.13%E -8.17%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -2.51%E -0.402%K -0.478%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.20%EV -2.19%E -0.267%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.49%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -4.58%E -0.572%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.48%EV -7.96%E -6.27%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -10.31%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 10:10
betfred_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -4.58%E -0.572%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 10:10
Paddy Power🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -4.58%E -0.572%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -11.58%E -9.49%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 10:09
Unibet (FR)🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 11.73%EV -9.35%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 73.66%EV -12.31%E -10.17%K -58.60%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.61%EV -4.85%E -0.795%K -0.951%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 10:10
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.83%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.36%EV -3.61%E -2.71%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +1.39%E +0.214%K +0.253%G +0.004%3.9%2026-08-23 11:20
Unibet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.79%EV -8.68%E -6.89%K -33.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -12.65%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 10:09
Unibet (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.79%EV -8.68%E -6.89%K -33.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -12.65%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 10:10
Grosvenor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.79%EV -8.68%E -6.89%K -33.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -12.65%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 10:10
Unibet (NL)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.79%EV -8.68%E -6.89%K -33.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -12.65%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.79%EV -8.68%E -6.89%K -33.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -12.65%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 10:10
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.79%EV -8.68%E -6.89%K -33.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -12.65%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 10:09
888sport🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 10:10
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 10:09
888sport (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 10:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.90%EV -10.13%E -8.17%K -42.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 10:10
Sky Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.83%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.74%EV -11.58%E -9.49%K -52.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.43%EV -10.31%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -11.58%E -9.49%K -52.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -11.58%E -9.49%K -52.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 10:09
Pinnacle🎯7.48I 13.37%NM 12.33%EV -10.78%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.18%EV -8.68%E -6.89%K -33.40%G +0.000%6.36I 15.72%NM 14.50%EV -0.795%E -0.125%K -0.148%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -16.50%E -2.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.16%EV -5.78%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV +1.39%E +0.214%K +0.253%G +0.004%6.6%2026-08-23 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -16.50%E -2.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.80%EV -10.13%E -8.17%K -42.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -10.31%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 10:10
PMU (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.23%EV -16.50%E -2.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 71.92%EV -13.76%E -11.56%K -72.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.85%EV -15.77%E -2.92%K -3.58%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-23 10:10
Winamax (DE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.29%EV -19.49%E -2.89%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.76%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.95%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 10:10
BoyleSports🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.32%EV -22.47%E -3.46%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 70.95%EV -11.58%E -9.49%K -52.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-23 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.27%EV -28.43%E -4.74%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 70.17%EV -11.58%E -9.49%K -52.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.56%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-23 10:10
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.74%1.9%2026-08-23 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.18%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.02%4.1%2026-08-23 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.18%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.02%4.1%2026-08-23 11:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.18%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.02%4.1%2026-08-23 11:05
Smarkets◎6.40I 15.63%NM 13.92%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.16%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%12.2%2026-08-23 14:30