Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Al-Ettifaq v Al-Nassr

2026-08-25 18:00 UTC — Saudi Pro League

Frente a frente

30 casas de apostas (5 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Al-Ettifaq (Local)

Previsão 11.93%8.38odd justa
EV +2.58%
Vantagem +0.300%
Kelly +0.339%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.84%11.94%11.97%14.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.007.517.508.6016.67%13.31%13.33%11.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Al-Nassr (Visitante)

Previsão 72.47%1.38odd justa
EV -3.61%
Vantagem -2.71%
Kelly -10.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.17%72.54%72.54%74.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.191.251.251.3384.03%80.17%80.00%75.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 15.60%6.41odd justa
EV +1.39%
Vantagem +0.214%
Kelly +0.253%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.36%15.52%15.50%16.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.405.805.606.5018.52%17.23%17.86%15.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Al-Ettifaq (Local): 11.93%; Al-Nassr (Visitante): 72.47%; Empate: 15.60%. Para Al-Ettifaq (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 8.38. 2 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 8.60, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +2.58%.

Odds das casas de apostas (30 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 10.84%EV +2.58%E +0.300%K +0.339%G +0.009%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -8.68%E -6.89%K -33.40%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.14%EV -3.91%E -0.635%K -0.759%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +1.39%E +0.163%K +0.185%G +0.003%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.66%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +1.39%E +0.214%K +0.253%G +0.004%7.1%2026-08-23 10:10
SportsBet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.14%EV -1.59%E -0.193%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.15%EV -10.13%E -8.17%K -42.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -2.51%E -0.402%K -0.478%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.20%EV -2.19%E -0.267%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.49%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -4.58%E -0.572%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.48%EV -7.96%E -6.27%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -10.31%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 10:10
betfred_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -4.58%E -0.572%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 10:10
Paddy Power🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -4.58%E -0.572%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -11.58%E -9.49%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 10:09
Unibet (FR)🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 11.73%EV -9.35%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 73.66%EV -12.31%E -10.17%K -58.60%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.61%EV -4.85%E -0.795%K -0.951%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 10:10
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.83%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.36%EV -3.61%E -2.71%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +1.39%E +0.214%K +0.253%G +0.004%3.9%2026-08-23 11:20
Unibet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.79%EV -8.68%E -6.89%K -33.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -12.65%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 10:09
Unibet (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.79%EV -8.68%E -6.89%K -33.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -12.65%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 10:10
Grosvenor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.79%EV -8.68%E -6.89%K -33.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -12.65%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 10:10
Unibet (NL)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.79%EV -8.68%E -6.89%K -33.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -12.65%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.79%EV -8.68%E -6.89%K -33.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -12.65%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 10:10
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.79%EV -8.68%E -6.89%K -33.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -12.65%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 10:09
888sport🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 10:10
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 10:09
888sport (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 10:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.90%EV -10.13%E -8.17%K -42.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 10:10
Sky Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.83%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.74%EV -11.58%E -9.49%K -52.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.43%EV -10.31%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -11.58%E -9.49%K -52.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -10.54%E -1.41%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -11.58%E -9.49%K -52.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 10:09
Pinnacle🎯7.48I 13.37%NM 12.33%EV -10.78%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.18%EV -8.68%E -6.89%K -33.40%G +0.000%6.36I 15.72%NM 14.50%EV -0.795%E -0.125%K -0.148%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -16.50%E -2.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.16%EV -5.78%E -4.45%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV +1.39%E +0.214%K +0.253%G +0.004%6.6%2026-08-23 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -16.50%E -2.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.80%EV -10.13%E -8.17%K -42.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -10.31%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 10:10
PMU (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.23%EV -16.50%E -2.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 71.92%EV -13.76%E -11.56%K -72.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.85%EV -15.77%E -2.92%K -3.58%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-23 10:10
Winamax (DE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.29%EV -19.49%E -2.89%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.76%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.95%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 10:10
BoyleSports🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.32%EV -22.47%E -3.46%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 70.95%EV -11.58%E -9.49%K -52.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-23 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.27%EV -28.43%E -4.74%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 70.17%EV -11.58%E -9.49%K -52.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.56%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-23 10:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.74%1.9%2026-08-23 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.18%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.02%4.1%2026-08-23 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.18%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.02%4.1%2026-08-23 11:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.18%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.02%4.1%2026-08-23 11:05
Smarkets7.60I 13.16%NM 11.99%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.74%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%9.8%2026-08-23 14:25