Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Ettifaq v Al-Nassr

Inizio: 2026-08-25 18:00 UTC

Finale: Al-Ettifaq 2–3 Al-Nassr

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Ettifaq (Casa)

Previsione 10.67%9.37quota equa
EV +25.88%
Vantaggio +2.19%
Kelly +2.40%
Crescita +0.620%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.23%10.76%10.52%12.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.258.889.0011.8013.79%11.27%11.11%8.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Al-Nassr (Trasferta)

Previsione 75.23%1.33quota equa
EV -5.96%
Vantaggio -4.77%
Kelly -23.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.21%75.17%75.64%78.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.141.201.211.2587.72%83.08%82.99%80.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 14.10%7.09quota equa
EV +4.94%
Vantaggio +0.663%
Kelly +0.766%
Crescita +0.038%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.67%14.07%13.84%15.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.806.406.407.4417.24%15.63%15.63%13.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Al-Ettifaq (Casa): 10.67%; Al-Nassr (Trasferta): 75.23%; Pareggio: 14.10%. Per Al-Ettifaq (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 9.37. 6 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 11.80, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +25.88%.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯11.80I 8.47%NM 8.23%EV +25.88%E +2.19%K +2.40%G +0.620%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.36%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -27.99%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.40%EV +2.26%E +0.311%K +0.361%G +0.008%2.9%2026-08-25 17:59
SportsBet🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.34%EV +4.01%E +0.411%K +0.458%G +0.018%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.17%EV -11.23%E -9.52%K -62.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV -4.80%E -0.711%K -0.834%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-25 17:54
Tipico (DE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +1.34%E +0.141%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.60%EV -9.73%E -8.11%K -48.63%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.72%EV -5.50%E -0.821%K -0.965%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 17:35
betfred_uk🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV +1.34%E +0.141%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -15.37%E -2.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-25 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV +1.34%E +0.141%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.74%EV -11.98%E -10.24%K -70.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -8.32%E -1.28%K -1.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-25 17:54
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV +1.34%E +0.141%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.74%EV -11.98%E -10.24%K -70.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -8.32%E -1.28%K -1.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-25 17:54
Pinnacle🎯9.34I 10.71%NM 10.09%EV -0.366%E -0.039%K -0.044%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.24%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.37%G +0.000%7.44I 13.44%NM 12.67%EV +4.94%E +0.663%K +0.766%G +0.038%6.1%2026-08-25 17:54
Coral🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.90%EV -5.96%E -4.77%K -23.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -1.27%E -0.182%K -0.212%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 17:53
Unibet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.56%EV -8.97%E -7.42%K -42.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -9.73%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 17:44
Unibet (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.56%EV -8.97%E -7.42%K -42.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -9.73%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 17:44
Grosvenor🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.56%EV -8.97%E -7.42%K -42.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -9.73%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 17:44
ATG (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.56%EV -8.97%E -7.42%K -42.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -9.73%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 17:44
Svenska Spel🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.56%EV -8.97%E -7.42%K -42.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -9.73%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 17:44
Unibet (NL)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.30%EV -8.97%E -7.42%K -42.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -11.85%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-25 17:56
888sport🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.73%E -8.11%K -48.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.37%E -2.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-25 17:49
William Hill🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.73%E -8.11%K -48.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.37%E -2.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-25 17:49
888sport (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.73%E -8.11%K -48.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.37%E -2.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-25 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -3.99%E -0.444%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.73%E -8.11%K -48.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.37%E -2.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-25 17:49
Betclic (FR)🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.43%EV -6.66%E -0.761%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.05%EV -9.73%E -8.11%K -48.63%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.52%EV -4.80%E -0.711%K -0.834%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-25 17:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -9.33%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.66%EV -5.96%E -4.77%K -23.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.32%E -1.28%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 17:53
Unibet (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -9.33%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -5.96%E -4.77%K -23.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -15.37%E -2.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-25 17:59
Sky Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -9.33%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -9.73%E -8.11%K -48.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.40%EV -11.85%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-25 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -9.33%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 75.32%EV -11.23%E -9.52%K -62.39%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.22%EV -11.85%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 17:44
LiveScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -9.33%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 75.22%EV -11.98%E -10.24%K -70.49%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.43%EV -13.96%E -2.29%K -2.74%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-25 17:14
Virgin Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -9.33%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 75.22%EV -11.98%E -10.24%K -70.49%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.43%EV -13.96%E -2.29%K -2.74%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-25 17:14
PMU (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.13%EV -9.33%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 75.52%EV -14.24%E -12.49%K -101.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.35%EV -15.37%E -2.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-25 17:44
Unibet (FR)🎯7.90I 12.66%NM 11.11%EV -15.73%E -1.99%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 73.76%EV -10.48%E -8.81%K -55.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.13%EV -18.20%E -3.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-25 17:59
Winamax (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -19.99%E -2.67%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.80%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -1.27%E -0.182%K -0.212%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-25 17:59
BoyleSports🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -19.99%E -2.67%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -8.22%E -6.74%K -37.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.37%E -2.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-25 17:59
Winamax (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.40%EV -22.66%E -3.13%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.29%EV -8.97%E -7.42%K -42.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -4.80%E -0.711%K -0.834%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-25 17:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.23%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74%0.7%2026-08-25 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.23%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74%0.7%2026-08-25 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.23%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74%0.7%2026-08-25 17:49
Kalshi◎11.11I 9.00%NM 8.82%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.43%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75%2.0%2026-08-25 17:54
Smarkets◎11.00I 9.09%NM 8.89%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.24%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.87%2.2%2026-08-25 17:54