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Al-Ahli v Al-Fateh
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Al-Ahli (Casa)
Previsione 75.89%1.32quota equa
EV -5.13%
Vantaggio -4.11%
Kelly -20.54%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.90%75.57%75.96%79.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.171.201.201.2585.47%83.13%83.33%80.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Al-Fateh (Trasferta)
Previsione 9.22%10.85quota equa
EV +10.63%
Vantaggio +0.886%
Kelly +0.966%
Crescita +0.103%
ipotizzando la quota massima 12.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.11%9.41%9.11%11.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.7510.0710.0012.0012.90%9.93%10.00%8.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 14.89%6.72quota equa
EV +13.16%
Vantaggio +1.73%
Kelly +1.99%
Crescita +0.262%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.80%15.02%14.94%17.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.986.007.6020.00%16.71%16.67%13.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.09%EV -6.65%E -5.41%K -28.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.11%EV +10.63%E +0.886%K +0.966%G +0.103% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.80%EV +13.16%E +1.73%K +1.99%G +0.262% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.62%EV -7.41%E -6.08%K -33.69%G +0.000% | 11.29I 8.86%NM 8.39%EV +4.08%E +0.362%K +0.397%G +0.016% | 6.77I 14.77%NM 13.99%EV +0.797%E +0.118%K +0.138%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -3.22%E -0.496%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -12.42%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -3.22%E -0.496%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.63%EV -9.69%E -8.14%K -50.99%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.25%EV -4.71%E -0.736%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.22%EV -8.93%E -7.44%K -44.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -6.94%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.46%EV -8.93%E -7.44%K -44.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -3.20%E -0.305%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -7.69%E -1.24%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.65%E -5.41%K -28.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -10.67%E -1.78%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.41%E -6.08%K -33.69%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.67%E -1.78%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.39%EV -10.45%E -8.85%K -58.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -3.20%E -0.305%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -10.67%E -1.78%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -8.93%E -7.44%K -44.65%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -17.03%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.67%E -1.78%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -10.45%E -8.85%K -58.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -10.67%E -1.78%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -10.45%E -8.85%K -58.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -10.67%E -1.78%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -10.45%E -8.85%K -58.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -10.67%E -1.78%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -10.45%E -8.85%K -58.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -10.67%E -1.78%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -11.21%E -9.58%K -65.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -10.67%E -1.78%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Unibet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.54%EV -8.17%E -6.75%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -3.20%E -0.305%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -13.64%E -2.35%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.54%EV -8.17%E -6.75%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -3.20%E -0.305%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -13.64%E -2.35%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.54%EV -8.17%E -6.75%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -3.20%E -0.305%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -13.64%E -2.35%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.54%EV -8.17%E -6.75%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -3.20%E -0.305%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -13.64%E -2.35%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.54%EV -8.17%E -6.75%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -3.20%E -0.305%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -13.64%E -2.35%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.54%EV -8.17%E -6.75%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -3.20%E -0.305%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -13.64%E -2.35%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.69%EV -8.93%E -7.44%K -44.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV -3.20%E -0.305%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -13.64%E -2.35%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.69%EV -8.93%E -7.44%K -44.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV -3.20%E -0.305%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -13.64%E -2.35%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.51%EV -8.93%E -7.44%K -44.65%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.94%EV -17.03%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -14.39%E -2.50%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -10.45%E -8.85%K -58.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -14.39%E -2.50%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -10.45%E -8.85%K -58.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -14.39%E -2.50%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.34%EV -5.89%E -4.75%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.64%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.96%EV -15.13%E -2.66%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.42%EV -11.21%E -9.58%K -65.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.76%EV -16.62%E -2.97%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.90%EV -6.65%E -5.41%K -28.92%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.41%EV -28.55%E -3.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.69%EV -21.09%E -3.98%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.02%EV -11.21%E -9.58%K -65.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.32%EV -25.56%E -5.11%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.05% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.05% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.59% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.53% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.88% | 2.2% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.03% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.23% | 3.4% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |