L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Ahli v Al-Fateh
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Ahli (Local)
Prévision 75.89%1.32cote équitable
EV -5.13%
Avantage -4.11%
Kelly -20.54%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.90%75.57%75.96%79.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.201.201.2585.47%83.13%83.33%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Fateh (Visiteur)
Prévision 9.22%10.85cote équitable
EV +10.63%
Avantage +0.886%
Kelly +0.966%
Croissance +0.103%
avec la cote maximale 12.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.11%9.41%9.11%11.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.7510.0710.0012.0012.90%9.93%10.00%8.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 14.89%6.72cote équitable
EV +13.16%
Avantage +1.73%
Kelly +1.99%
Croissance +0.262%
avec la cote maximale 7.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.80%15.02%14.94%17.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.986.007.6020.00%16.71%16.67%13.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.09%EV -6.65%E -5.41%K -28.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.11%EV +10.63%E +0.886%K +0.966%G +0.103% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.80%EV +13.16%E +1.73%K +1.99%G +0.262% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.62%EV -7.41%E -6.08%K -33.69%G +0.000% | 11.29I 8.86%NM 8.39%EV +4.08%E +0.362%K +0.397%G +0.016% | 6.77I 14.77%NM 13.99%EV +0.797%E +0.118%K +0.138%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -3.22%E -0.496%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.13%E -4.11%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -12.42%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -3.22%E -0.496%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.63%EV -9.69%E -8.14%K -50.99%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.25%EV -4.71%E -0.736%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.22%EV -8.93%E -7.44%K -44.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -6.94%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.46%EV -8.93%E -7.44%K -44.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -3.20%E -0.305%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -7.69%E -1.24%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.65%E -5.41%K -28.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -10.67%E -1.78%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.41%E -6.08%K -33.69%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.67%E -1.78%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.39%EV -10.45%E -8.85%K -58.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -3.20%E -0.305%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -10.67%E -1.78%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -8.93%E -7.44%K -44.65%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -17.03%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.67%E -1.78%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -10.45%E -8.85%K -58.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -10.67%E -1.78%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -10.45%E -8.85%K -58.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -10.67%E -1.78%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -10.45%E -8.85%K -58.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -10.67%E -1.78%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -10.45%E -8.85%K -58.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -10.67%E -1.78%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -11.21%E -9.58%K -65.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -10.67%E -1.78%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Unibet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.54%EV -8.17%E -6.75%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -3.20%E -0.305%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -13.64%E -2.35%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.54%EV -8.17%E -6.75%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -3.20%E -0.305%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -13.64%E -2.35%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.54%EV -8.17%E -6.75%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -3.20%E -0.305%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -13.64%E -2.35%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.54%EV -8.17%E -6.75%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -3.20%E -0.305%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -13.64%E -2.35%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.54%EV -8.17%E -6.75%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -3.20%E -0.305%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -13.64%E -2.35%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.54%EV -8.17%E -6.75%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -3.20%E -0.305%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -13.64%E -2.35%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.69%EV -8.93%E -7.44%K -44.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV -3.20%E -0.305%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -13.64%E -2.35%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.69%EV -8.93%E -7.44%K -44.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV -3.20%E -0.305%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -13.64%E -2.35%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.51%EV -8.93%E -7.44%K -44.65%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.94%EV -17.03%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -14.39%E -2.50%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -10.45%E -8.85%K -58.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -14.39%E -2.50%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -10.45%E -8.85%K -58.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -14.39%E -2.50%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.34%EV -5.89%E -4.75%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.64%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.96%EV -15.13%E -2.66%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.42%EV -11.21%E -9.58%K -65.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.76%EV -16.62%E -2.97%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.90%EV -6.65%E -5.41%K -28.92%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.41%EV -28.55%E -3.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.69%EV -21.09%E -3.98%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.02%EV -11.21%E -9.58%K -65.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -7.81%E -0.781%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.32%EV -25.56%E -5.11%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.05% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.05% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.59% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.53% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.88% | 2.2% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.03% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.23% | 3.4% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |