StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Vitória SC v Nacional

Matchstart: 2026-08-23 14:32 UTC

Slutresultat: Vitória SC 1–0 Nacional

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Vitória SC (Hemma)

Prognos 58.46%1.71rättvist odds
EV -1.79%
Fördel -1.07%
Kelly -2.63%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.68

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.37%58.46%58.35%60.63%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.501.601.611.6866.67%62.37%62.11%59.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Nacional (Borta)

Prognos 17.61%5.68rättvist odds
EV +3.92%
Fördel +0.664%
Kelly +0.800%
Tillväxt +0.031%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.70%17.54%17.73%19.20%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.705.205.225.9021.28%19.24%19.14%16.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 23.93%4.18rättvist odds
EV -1.90%
Fördel -0.462%
Kelly -0.611%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.07%24.00%23.92%25.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.553.803.794.1028.17%26.32%26.39%24.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Vitória SC (Hemma): 58.46%; Nacional (Borta): 17.61%; Oavgjort: 23.93%. För Nacional (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.68. 6 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.90, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.92%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -10.56%E -6.90%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV +3.92%E +0.664%K +0.800%G +0.031%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -8.80%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV +2.16%E +0.372%K +0.450%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -1.90%E -0.462%K -0.611%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -8.80%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV +2.16%E +0.372%K +0.450%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -1.90%E -0.462%K -0.611%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 14:25
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.76%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +2.16%E +0.372%K +0.450%G +0.010%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV +0.398%E +0.070%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 13:50
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.12%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.97%EV +0.045%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.91%EV -3.57%E -0.886%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 14:00
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.48%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.92%EV -1.36%E -0.244%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 14:25
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.21%EV -7.05%E -4.43%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.96%EV -2.24%E -0.404%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:25
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 14:05
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 13:55
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -12.66%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 14:25
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 14:25
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 14:23
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.89%E -0.905%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 14:05
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.89%E -0.905%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 14:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.02%EV -7.64%E -4.83%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -5.77%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.55%EV -5.25%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 14:25
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.43%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -6.65%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 14:24
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 13:50
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.18%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 13:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 14:05
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 13:55
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.13%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 14:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.64%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.05%EV -9.55%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 14:14
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -8.41%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -8.41%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -12.31%E -8.21%K -24.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.14%EV -8.41%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -1.79%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:15
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -1.79%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:15
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -1.79%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -1.79%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -1.79%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:15
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -1.79%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:15
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 14:15
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 14:15
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 14:15
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.58%EV -8.80%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 14:25
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.33%EV -9.97%E -6.48%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 14:15
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 14:15
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.34%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 14:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.34%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.34%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 14:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.96%6.25I 16.00%NM 16.02%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.01%-0.1%2026-08-23 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.5%2026-08-23 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.5%2026-08-23 14:25
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.5%2026-08-23 14:25
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-23 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-08-23 14:25