StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Vitória SC v Nacional

Aanvang: 2026-08-23 14:32 UTC

Eindstand: Vitória SC 1–0 Nacional

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

56 wedaanbieders (19 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Vitória SC (Thuis)

Prognose 58.46%1.71margevrije odds
EV -1.79%
Voordeel -1.07%
Kelly -2.63%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.68

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
55.37%58.46%58.35%60.63%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.501.601.611.6866.67%62.37%62.11%59.52%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Nacional (Uit)

Prognose 17.61%5.68margevrije odds
EV +3.92%
Voordeel +0.664%
Kelly +0.800%
Groei +0.031%

bij maximale odds 5.90

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
15.70%17.54%17.73%19.20%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
4.705.205.225.9021.28%19.24%19.14%16.95%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 23.93%4.18margevrije odds
EV -1.90%
Voordeel -0.462%
Kelly -0.611%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 4.10

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
23.07%24.00%23.92%25.53%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.553.803.794.1028.17%26.32%26.39%24.39%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Vitória SC (Thuis): 58.46%; Nacional (Uit): 17.61%; Gelijkspel: 23.93%. Voor Nacional (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 5.68. 6 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 5.90, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +3.92%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (56 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUit ▼GelijkspelMargeBijgewerkt
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -10.56%E -6.90%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV +3.92%E +0.664%K +0.800%G +0.031%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -8.80%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV +2.16%E +0.372%K +0.450%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -1.90%E -0.462%K -0.611%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -8.80%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV +2.16%E +0.372%K +0.450%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -1.90%E -0.462%K -0.611%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 14:25
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.76%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +2.16%E +0.372%K +0.450%G +0.010%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV +0.398%E +0.070%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 13:50
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.12%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.97%EV +0.045%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.91%EV -3.57%E -0.886%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 14:00
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.48%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.92%EV -1.36%E -0.244%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 14:25
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.21%EV -7.05%E -4.43%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.96%EV -2.24%E -0.404%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:25
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 14:05
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 13:55
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -12.66%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 14:25
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 14:25
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 14:23
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.89%E -0.905%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 14:05
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.89%E -0.905%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 14:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.02%EV -7.64%E -4.83%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -5.77%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.55%EV -5.25%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 14:25
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.43%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -6.65%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 14:24
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 13:50
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.18%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 13:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 14:05
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 13:55
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.13%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 14:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.64%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.05%EV -9.55%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 14:14
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -8.41%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -8.41%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -12.31%E -8.21%K -24.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.14%EV -8.41%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -1.79%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:15
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -1.79%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:15
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -1.79%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -1.79%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -1.79%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:15
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -1.79%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:15
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 14:15
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 14:15
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 14:15
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.58%EV -8.80%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 14:25
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.33%EV -9.97%E -6.48%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 14:15
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 14:15
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.34%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 14:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.34%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.34%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 14:15
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (6)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.96%6.25I 16.00%NM 16.02%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.01%-0.1%2026-08-23 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.5%2026-08-23 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.5%2026-08-23 14:25
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.5%2026-08-23 14:25
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-23 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-08-23 14:25