Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.68
avec la cote maximale 5.90
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Vitória SC (Local) : 58.46% ; Nacional (Visiteur) : 17.61% ; Match nul : 23.93%. Pour Nacional (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.68. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.90, soit une espérance positive de +3.92%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -10.56%E -6.90%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV +3.92%E +0.664%K +0.800%G +0.031% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -8.80%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV +2.16%E +0.372%K +0.450%G +0.010% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -1.90%E -0.462%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -8.80%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV +2.16%E +0.372%K +0.450%G +0.010% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -1.90%E -0.462%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.76%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +2.16%E +0.372%K +0.450%G +0.010% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV +0.398%E +0.070%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.12%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.97%EV +0.045%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.91%EV -3.57%E -0.886%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-23 14:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.48%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.92%EV -1.36%E -0.244%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.21%EV -7.05%E -4.43%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.96%EV -2.24%E -0.404%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -12.66%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -3.13%E -0.568%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 14:23 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.89%E -0.905%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.89%E -0.905%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.02%EV -7.64%E -4.83%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -5.77%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.55%EV -5.25%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.43%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -6.65%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 14:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.18%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-23 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.13%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-23 14:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.64%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -7.53%E -1.43%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.05%EV -9.55%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 14:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -8.41%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -8.41%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -12.31%E -8.21%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.14%EV -8.41%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -1.79%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -1.79%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -1.79%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -1.79%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -1.79%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -1.79%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.58%EV -8.80%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -11.93%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.33%EV -9.97%E -6.48%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -13.69%E -2.79%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.34%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.34%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -17.22%E -3.66%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.34%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.96% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 16.02% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 24.01% | -0.1% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.28% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.28% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.28% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |