Language:English
Vitória SC v Famalicão
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vitória SC (Local)
Prediction 38.00%2.63fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.61%38.06%37.97%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.462.472.5642.55%40.69%40.49%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Famalicão (Visit)
Prediction 32.95%3.03fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.380%
Kelly -0.570%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.37%32.95%33.01%34.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.812.803.0038.02%35.63%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.04%3.44fair odd
EV -0.674%
Edge -0.197%
Kelly -0.278%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.97%28.99%29.01%30.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.203.203.4234.72%31.28%31.25%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vitória SC (Local): 38.00%; Famalicão (Visit): 32.95%; Draw: 29.04%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.42, with an expected value of -0.674%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.87%EV -2.71%E -1.06%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.08%EV -8.72%E -3.15%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 10:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.11%EV -3.47%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.82%EV -2.79%E -0.945%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.07%EV -3.29%E -0.987%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.27%EV -4.23%E -1.68%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.69%EV -2.79%E -0.945%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.05%EV -3.58%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.27%EV -4.23%E -1.68%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.69%EV -2.79%E -0.945%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.05%EV -3.58%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 15:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -1.25%E -0.369%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 10:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 15:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.10%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.54%EV -1.80%E -0.603%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.36%EV -0.674%E -0.197%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -7.07%E -2.51%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -7.07%E -2.51%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.54%EV -6.13%E -2.48%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -3.78%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 15:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.90%EV -6.13%E -2.48%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 15:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.90%EV -6.13%E -2.48%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.90%EV -6.51%E -2.65%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.60%EV -5.75%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.50%EV -8.22%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 15:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.71%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 15:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 15:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 15:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -11.03%E -4.08%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -7.65%E -3.15%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -11.03%E -4.08%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.42%E -3.74%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -1.14%E -0.380%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -2.79%E -0.945%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 15:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 15:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -11.03%E -4.08%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -9.55%E -4.01%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 15:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.61%EV -9.55%E -4.01%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.13%EV -13.33%E -5.07%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -16.36%E -5.68%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-14 15:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -10.69%E -4.55%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.60% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.26% | 2.0% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.1% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |