La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Vitória SC v Famalicão
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vitória SC (Local)
Predicción 38.00%2.63momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.61%38.06%37.97%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.462.472.5642.55%40.69%40.49%39.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Famalicão (Visitante)
Predicción 32.95%3.03momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.380%
Kelly -0.570%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.37%32.95%33.01%34.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.812.803.0038.02%35.63%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.04%3.44momio equitativo
EV -0.674%
Ventaja -0.197%
Kelly -0.278%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.97%28.99%29.01%30.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.203.203.4234.72%31.28%31.25%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.87%EV -2.71%E -1.06%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.08%EV -8.72%E -3.15%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 10:44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.11%EV -3.47%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.82%EV -2.79%E -0.945%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.07%EV -3.29%E -0.987%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.27%EV -4.23%E -1.68%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.69%EV -2.79%E -0.945%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.05%EV -3.58%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.27%EV -4.23%E -1.68%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.69%EV -2.79%E -0.945%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.05%EV -3.58%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 15:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -1.25%E -0.369%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 15:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| betPARX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Bally Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 10:44 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 15:24 |
| 1xBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.10%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.54%EV -1.80%E -0.603%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.36%EV -0.674%E -0.197%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -7.07%E -2.51%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| Betsson | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -7.07%E -2.51%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.54%EV -6.13%E -2.48%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -3.78%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 15:08 |
| Bovada | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.90%EV -6.13%E -2.48%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 15:18 |
| BetUS | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.90%EV -6.13%E -2.48%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.90%EV -6.51%E -2.65%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.60%EV -5.75%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.50%EV -8.22%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 15:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.71%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 15:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 15:24 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 15:00 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -11.03%E -4.08%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -7.65%E -3.15%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -11.03%E -4.08%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.42%E -3.74%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -1.14%E -0.380%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -2.79%E -0.945%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 15:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 15:05 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -11.03%E -4.08%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -9.55%E -4.01%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 15:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.61%EV -9.55%E -4.01%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.13%EV -13.33%E -5.07%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -16.36%E -5.68%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-14 15:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -10.69%E -4.55%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.60% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.26% | 2.0% | 2026-03-14 15:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.1% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |