مدرسة الاحتمالات

Vitória SC v Famalicão

البداية: 2026-03-14 15:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Vitória SC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.00%2.63السعر العادل
EV -2.71%
الأفضلية -1.06%
Kelly -1.74%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.56

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.61%38.06%37.97%39.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.462.472.5642.55%40.69%40.49%39.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Famalicão (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.95%3.03السعر العادل
EV -1.14%
الأفضلية -0.380%
Kelly -0.570%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.37%32.95%33.01%34.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.632.812.803.0038.02%35.63%35.71%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.04%3.44السعر العادل
EV -0.674%
الأفضلية -0.197%
Kelly -0.278%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.97%28.99%29.01%30.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.203.203.4234.72%31.28%31.25%29.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets2.56I 39.06%NM 36.87%EV -2.71%E -1.06%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.08%EV -8.72%E -3.15%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 10:44
Pinnacle2.54I 39.37%NM 38.11%EV -3.47%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.82%EV -2.79%E -0.945%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.07%EV -3.29%E -0.987%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 15:20
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.27%EV -4.23%E -1.68%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.69%EV -2.79%E -0.945%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.05%EV -3.58%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 15:05
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.27%EV -4.23%E -1.68%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.69%EV -2.79%E -0.945%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.05%EV -3.58%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 15:05
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -1.25%E -0.369%K -0.523%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 15:00
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 15:15
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 15:10
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:35
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:35
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:35
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:35
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 10:44
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 15:24
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 39.10%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.54%EV -1.80%E -0.603%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.36%EV -0.674%E -0.197%K -0.278%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 15:20
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -7.07%E -2.51%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 15:15
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -7.07%E -2.51%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 15:15
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:35
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:35
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:35
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:35
Betclic (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 38.54%EV -6.13%E -2.48%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -3.78%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 15:08
Bovada2.47I 40.49%NM 37.90%EV -6.13%E -2.48%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 15:18
BetUS2.47I 40.49%NM 37.90%EV -6.13%E -2.48%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 15:20
Marathon Bet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.90%EV -6.51%E -2.65%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.60%EV -5.75%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.50%EV -8.22%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 15:24
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.71%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 15:10
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 15:24
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 15:00
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 15:00
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 15:20
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 15:15
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -11.03%E -4.08%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:35
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -7.65%E -3.15%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -11.03%E -4.08%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.42%E -3.74%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -1.14%E -0.380%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 15:15
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -2.79%E -0.945%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 15:25
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 15:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 15:10
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 15:10
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 15:25
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 15:20
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 15:05
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 15:20
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 15:20
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 15:20
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 15:20
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -11.03%E -4.08%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 15:20
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -9.55%E -4.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 15:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.61%EV -9.55%E -4.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.13%EV -13.33%E -5.07%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -16.36%E -5.68%K -8.70%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-14 15:10
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -10.69%E -4.55%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 15:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-03-14 15:25
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-03-14 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-03-14 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-03-14 15:25
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.60%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.26%2.0%2026-03-14 15:25
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-03-14 15:15