La scuola delle quote

Vitória SC v Famalicão

Inizio: 2026-03-14 15:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Vitória SC (Casa)

Previsione 38.00%2.63quota equa
EV -2.71%
Vantaggio -1.06%
Kelly -1.74%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.61%38.06%37.97%39.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.462.472.5642.55%40.69%40.49%39.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Famalicão (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.95%3.03quota equa
EV -1.14%
Vantaggio -0.380%
Kelly -0.570%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.37%32.95%33.01%34.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.812.803.0038.02%35.63%35.71%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.04%3.44quota equa
EV -0.674%
Vantaggio -0.197%
Kelly -0.278%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.97%28.99%29.01%30.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.203.203.4234.72%31.28%31.25%29.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
GTbets2.56I 39.06%NM 36.87%EV -2.71%E -1.06%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.08%EV -8.72%E -3.15%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 10:44
Pinnacle2.54I 39.37%NM 38.11%EV -3.47%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.82%EV -2.79%E -0.945%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.07%EV -3.29%E -0.987%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 15:20
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.27%EV -4.23%E -1.68%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.69%EV -2.79%E -0.945%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.05%EV -3.58%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 15:05
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.27%EV -4.23%E -1.68%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.69%EV -2.79%E -0.945%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.05%EV -3.58%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 15:05
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -1.25%E -0.369%K -0.523%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 15:00
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 15:15
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 15:10
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:35
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:35
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:35
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:35
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 10:44
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 15:24
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 39.10%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.54%EV -1.80%E -0.603%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.36%EV -0.674%E -0.197%K -0.278%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 15:20
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -7.07%E -2.51%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 15:15
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -7.07%E -2.51%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 15:15
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:35
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:35
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:35
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:35
Betclic (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 38.54%EV -6.13%E -2.48%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -3.78%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 15:08
Bovada2.47I 40.49%NM 37.90%EV -6.13%E -2.48%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 15:18
BetUS2.47I 40.49%NM 37.90%EV -6.13%E -2.48%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 15:20
Marathon Bet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.90%EV -6.51%E -2.65%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.60%EV -5.75%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.50%EV -8.22%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 15:24
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.71%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 15:10
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 15:24
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 15:00
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 15:00
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 15:20
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -8.52%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 15:15
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -11.03%E -4.08%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:35
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -7.65%E -3.15%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -11.03%E -4.08%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.42%E -3.74%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -1.14%E -0.380%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 15:15
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -2.79%E -0.945%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 15:25
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 15:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.08%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 15:10
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -4.16%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 15:10
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 15:25
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 15:20
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 15:05
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 15:20
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 15:20
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.73%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 15:20
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 15:20
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -11.03%E -4.08%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 15:20
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -9.55%E -4.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 15:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.61%EV -9.55%E -4.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.13%EV -13.33%E -5.07%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -16.36%E -5.68%K -8.70%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-14 15:10
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -10.69%E -4.55%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -9.38%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 15:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-03-14 15:25
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-03-14 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-03-14 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-03-14 15:25
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.60%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.26%2.0%2026-03-14 15:25
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-03-14 15:15