La scuola delle quote

Vitória SC v Casa Pia

Inizio: 2026-05-10 15:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Vitória SC (Casa)

Previsione 52.58%1.90quota equa
EV -2.73%
Vantaggio -1.47%
Kelly -3.21%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.24%52.60%52.42%54.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.761.751.8560.24%56.67%56.98%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Casa Pia (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.48%4.45quota equa
EV +0.490%
Vantaggio +0.110%
Kelly +0.141%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.47

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.70%22.49%22.55%23.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.554.084.084.4728.17%24.52%24.48%22.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.94%4.01quota equa
EV +0.008%
Vantaggio +0.002%
Kelly +0.003%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.67%24.91%25.03%28.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.683.704.0132.26%27.14%27.03%24.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.61%EV -4.83%E -2.67%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.71%EV +0.490%E +0.110%K +0.141%G +0.001%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.69%EV -1.99%E -0.506%K -0.678%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-05 13:00
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.33%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 14:15
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -9.56%E -5.56%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.33%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -2.74%E -0.701%K -0.943%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 13:00
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -8.51%E -4.89%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -3.33%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -5.73%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 13:00
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 52.39%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 21.98%EV -3.56%E -0.829%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.63%EV -8.22%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 14:09
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 22:25
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 22:25
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -2.73%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 07:29
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 15:47
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 19:45
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 19:45
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 19:45
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 19:45
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.74%EV -7.46%E -4.24%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.37%EV -6.70%E -1.62%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.89%EV -6.98%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 19:44
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.83%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 14:15
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.83%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 14:20
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -4.31%E -2.37%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.83%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 14:15
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -4.83%E -2.67%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -7.83%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 14:15
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.88%E -3.29%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.32%EV -8.50%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.67%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 22:35
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 52.75%EV -6.41%E -3.60%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -1.49%E -0.377%K -0.505%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 15:50
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 52.75%EV -6.41%E -3.60%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -1.49%E -0.377%K -0.505%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 22:15
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 14:20
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 15:35
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 15:34
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 15:34
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -6.93%E -3.92%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 15:34
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 14:15
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.62%E -6.24%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-05 13:00
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.04%E -5.22%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-05 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -9.04%E -5.22%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -22.69%E -7.32%K -10.80%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-04 14:15
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.93%E -3.92%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.20%E -2.84%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 21:19
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.54%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -12.32%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 16:19
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 52.19%EV -11.14%E -6.59%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -12.32%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-04 19:45
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.57%E -3.83%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-04 14:15
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.64%EV -9.56%E -5.56%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -15.70%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-04 19:45
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 51.13%EV -12.72%E -7.66%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.91%EV -20.19%E -5.69%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.96%EV -15.21%E -4.47%K -6.34%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-04 19:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 46.99%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.56%2.84I 35.21%NM 29.45%19.6%2026-05-05 15:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 46.99%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.56%2.84I 35.21%NM 29.45%19.6%2026-05-05 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 46.99%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.56%2.84I 35.21%NM 29.45%19.6%2026-05-05 15:35
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 38.59%1.64I 60.98%NM 38.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 22.58%57.0%2026-05-05 15:35