La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Vitória SC v Casa Pia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vitória SC (Local)
Predicción 52.58%1.90momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -1.47%
Kelly -3.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.24%52.60%52.42%54.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.761.751.8560.24%56.67%56.98%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Casa Pia (Visitante)
Predicción 22.48%4.45momio equitativo
EV +0.490%
Ventaja +0.110%
Kelly +0.141%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.70%22.49%22.55%23.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.554.084.084.4728.17%24.52%24.48%22.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.94%4.01momio equitativo
EV +0.008%
Ventaja +0.002%
Kelly +0.003%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.67%24.91%25.03%28.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.683.704.0132.26%27.14%27.03%24.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.61%EV -4.83%E -2.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.71%EV +0.490%E +0.110%K +0.141%G +0.001% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.69%EV -1.99%E -0.506%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-05 13:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.33%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -9.56%E -5.56%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.33%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -2.74%E -0.701%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -8.51%E -4.89%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -3.33%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -5.73%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 13:00 |
| GTbets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.39%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.98%EV -3.56%E -0.829%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.63%EV -8.22%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 14:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -2.73%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 07:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 15:47 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.74%EV -7.46%E -4.24%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.37%EV -6.70%E -1.62%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.89%EV -6.98%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 19:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.83%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.83%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 14:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -4.31%E -2.37%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.83%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -4.83%E -2.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -7.83%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.88%E -3.29%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.32%EV -8.50%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.67%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| Bovada | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.75%EV -6.41%E -3.60%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -1.49%E -0.377%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 15:50 |
| BetUS | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.75%EV -6.41%E -3.60%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -1.49%E -0.377%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 15:34 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-05 15:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -6.93%E -3.92%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 15:34 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.62%E -6.24%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-05 13:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.04%E -5.22%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-05 15:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -9.04%E -5.22%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -22.69%E -7.32%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.93%E -3.92%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.20%E -2.84%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-04 21:19 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.54%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -12.32%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-05 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.19%EV -11.14%E -6.59%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -12.32%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.57%E -3.83%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.64%EV -9.56%E -5.56%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -15.70%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 51.13%EV -12.72%E -7.66%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.91%EV -20.19%E -5.69%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.96%EV -15.21%E -4.47%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 46.99% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.56% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 29.45% | 19.6% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 46.99% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.56% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 29.45% | 19.6% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 46.99% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.56% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 29.45% | 19.6% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 38.59% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 38.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 22.58% | 57.0% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |