L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Vitória SC v Casa Pia
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vitória SC (Local)
Prévision 52.58%1.90cote équitable
EV -2.73%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -3.21%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.24%52.60%52.42%54.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.761.751.8560.24%56.67%56.98%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Casa Pia (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.48%4.45cote équitable
EV +0.490%
Avantage +0.110%
Kelly +0.141%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.47
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.70%22.49%22.55%23.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.554.084.084.4728.17%24.52%24.48%22.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.94%4.01cote équitable
EV +0.008%
Avantage +0.002%
Kelly +0.003%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.01
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.67%24.91%25.03%28.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.683.704.0132.26%27.14%27.03%24.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.61%EV -4.83%E -2.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.71%EV +0.490%E +0.110%K +0.141%G +0.001% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.69%EV -1.99%E -0.506%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-05 13:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.33%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -9.56%E -5.56%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.33%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -2.74%E -0.701%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -8.51%E -4.89%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -3.33%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -5.73%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 13:00 |
| GTbets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.39%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.98%EV -3.56%E -0.829%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.63%EV -8.22%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 14:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -2.73%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 07:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 15:47 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.74%EV -7.46%E -4.24%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.37%EV -6.70%E -1.62%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.89%EV -6.98%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 19:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.83%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.83%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 14:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -4.31%E -2.37%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.83%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -4.83%E -2.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -7.83%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.88%E -3.29%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.32%EV -8.50%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.67%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| Bovada | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.75%EV -6.41%E -3.60%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -1.49%E -0.377%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 15:50 |
| BetUS | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.75%EV -6.41%E -3.60%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -1.49%E -0.377%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 15:34 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-05 15:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -6.93%E -3.92%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 15:34 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.62%E -6.24%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-05 13:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.04%E -5.22%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-05 15:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -9.04%E -5.22%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -22.69%E -7.32%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.93%E -3.92%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.20%E -2.84%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-04 21:19 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.54%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -12.32%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-05 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.19%EV -11.14%E -6.59%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -12.32%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.57%E -3.83%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.64%EV -9.56%E -5.56%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -15.70%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 51.13%EV -12.72%E -7.66%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.91%EV -20.19%E -5.69%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.96%EV -15.21%E -4.47%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 46.99% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.56% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 29.45% | 19.6% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 46.99% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.56% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 29.45% | 19.6% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 46.99% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.56% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 29.45% | 19.6% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 38.59% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 38.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 22.58% | 57.0% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |