مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Vitória SC v Casa Pia
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Vitória SC (المضيف)
التنبؤ 52.58%1.90السعر العادل
EV -2.73%
الأفضلية -1.47%
Kelly -3.21%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.24%52.60%52.42%54.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.661.761.751.8560.24%56.67%56.98%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Casa Pia (الضيف)
التنبؤ 22.48%4.45السعر العادل
EV +0.490%
الأفضلية +0.110%
Kelly +0.141%
النمو +0.001%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.47
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.70%22.49%22.55%23.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.554.084.084.4728.17%24.52%24.48%22.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 24.94%4.01السعر العادل
EV +0.008%
الأفضلية +0.002%
Kelly +0.003%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.01
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.67%24.91%25.03%28.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.683.704.0132.26%27.14%27.03%24.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (36 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.61%EV -4.83%E -2.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.71%EV +0.490%E +0.110%K +0.141%G +0.001% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.69%EV -1.99%E -0.506%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-05 13:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.33%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -9.56%E -5.56%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.33%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -2.74%E -0.701%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -8.51%E -4.89%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -3.33%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -5.73%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 13:00 |
| GTbets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.39%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.98%EV -3.56%E -0.829%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.63%EV -8.22%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 14:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -2.73%E -1.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 07:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 15:47 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.58%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.74%EV -7.46%E -4.24%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.37%EV -6.70%E -1.62%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.89%EV -6.98%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 19:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.83%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.83%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 14:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -4.31%E -2.37%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -7.83%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -4.83%E -2.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -7.83%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.88%E -3.29%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.32%EV -8.50%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.67%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| Bovada | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.75%EV -6.41%E -3.60%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -1.49%E -0.377%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 15:50 |
| BetUS | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.75%EV -6.41%E -3.60%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -1.49%E -0.377%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 15:34 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-05 15:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -6.93%E -3.92%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 15:34 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.36%E -2.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.62%E -6.24%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-05 13:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.04%E -5.22%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-05 15:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -9.04%E -5.22%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -22.69%E -7.32%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.93%E -3.92%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.20%E -2.84%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-04 21:19 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.54%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -12.32%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-05 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.19%EV -11.14%E -6.59%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -12.32%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -7.99%E -4.56%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.57%E -3.83%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.64%EV -9.56%E -5.56%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -15.70%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 51.13%EV -12.72%E -7.66%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.91%EV -20.19%E -5.69%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.96%EV -15.21%E -4.47%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (4)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 46.99% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.56% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 29.45% | 19.6% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 46.99% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.56% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 29.45% | 19.6% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 46.99% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.56% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 29.45% | 19.6% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 38.59% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 38.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 22.58% | 57.0% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |