A Escola das Odds

Vitória SC v Casa Pia

Início: 2026-05-11 19:15 UTC

Final: Vitória SC 0–1 Casa Pia

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Vitória SC (Local)

Previsão 54.14%1.85odd justa
EV -3.09%
Vantagem -1.73%
Kelly -3.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.96%54.23%54.15%55.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.721.7960.61%58.21%58.14%55.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Casa Pia (Visitante)

Previsão 20.47%4.88odd justa
EV -1.72%
Vantagem -0.358%
Kelly -0.453%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.43%20.40%20.60%21.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.304.534.504.8023.26%22.07%22.22%20.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.38%3.94odd justa
EV -1.51%
Vantagem -0.389%
Kelly -0.524%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.25%25.38%25.25%27.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.643.603.8832.26%27.46%27.78%25.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.21%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.78%EV -4.38%E -0.938%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.01%EV -1.51%E -0.389%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.19%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.76%EV -5.41%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.04%EV -2.78%E -0.725%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 18:35
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 18:35
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 18:34
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -5.82%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 04:39
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -5.82%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 04:39
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.82%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:34
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 18:35
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 18:33
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 18:34
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 04:39
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 04:39
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 04:39
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 04:39
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.78%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 18:34
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:34
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 04:39
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 04:39
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:35
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:34
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:34
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:35
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:35
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-11 18:34
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.43%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -3.77%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 18:34
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.43%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -3.77%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 18:34
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.29%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.97%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 18:35
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 18:34
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 18:34
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -5.82%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 18:34
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 04:39
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 04:39
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 04:39
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -9.89%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 04:39
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -9.89%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 04:39
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.73%EV -7.04%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.25%EV -1.51%E -0.389%K -0.524%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 18:33
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -3.77%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 18:34
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -3.54%E -0.931%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 18:34
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 18:35
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -9.89%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-11 04:39
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -9.89%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-11 04:39
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -8.50%E -5.03%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -1.72%E -0.358%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:33
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.04%E -5.38%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-11 18:34
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.21%EV -9.04%E -5.38%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-11 18:35
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 53.58%EV -9.04%E -5.38%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-11 04:39
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -1.72%E -0.358%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.54%E -0.931%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:34
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -5.82%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-11 18:34
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.30%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -9.89%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-11 18:34
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-11 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.96%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.04%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -21.31%E -6.87%K -10.15%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-11 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -10.67%E -6.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 18:30
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -10.67%E -6.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-11 18:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.18%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61%0.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.18%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61%0.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.18%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61%0.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 55.18%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61%0.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.71%1.1%2026-05-11 15:40
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.93%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.1%2026-05-11 18:35