L’École des cotes

Vitória SC v Casa Pia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-11 19:15 UTC

Score final : Vitória SC 0–1 Casa Pia

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vitória SC (Local)

Prévision 54.14%1.85cote équitable
EV -3.09%
Avantage -1.73%
Kelly -3.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.96%54.23%54.15%55.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.721.721.7960.61%58.21%58.14%55.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Casa Pia (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.47%4.88cote équitable
EV -1.72%
Avantage -0.358%
Kelly -0.453%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.43%20.40%20.60%21.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.534.504.8023.26%22.07%22.22%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.38%3.94cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -0.389%
Kelly -0.524%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.25%25.38%25.25%27.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.643.603.8832.26%27.46%27.78%25.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.21%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.78%EV -4.38%E -0.938%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.01%EV -1.51%E -0.389%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.19%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.76%EV -5.41%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.04%EV -2.78%E -0.725%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 18:35
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 18:35
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 18:34
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -5.82%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 04:39
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -5.82%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 04:39
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.82%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:34
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 18:35
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 18:33
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 18:34
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 04:39
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 04:39
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 04:39
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 04:39
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.78%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 18:34
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:34
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 04:39
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 04:39
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:35
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:34
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:34
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:35
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:35
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-11 18:34
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.43%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -3.77%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 18:34
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.43%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -3.77%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 18:34
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.29%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.97%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 18:35
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 18:34
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 18:34
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -5.82%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 18:34
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 04:39
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 04:39
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 04:39
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -9.89%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 04:39
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -9.89%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 04:39
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.73%EV -7.04%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.25%EV -1.51%E -0.389%K -0.524%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 18:33
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -3.77%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 18:34
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -3.54%E -0.931%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 18:34
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 18:35
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -9.89%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-11 04:39
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -9.89%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-11 04:39
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -8.50%E -5.03%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -1.72%E -0.358%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:33
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.04%E -5.38%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-11 18:34
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.21%EV -9.04%E -5.38%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-11 18:35
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 53.58%EV -9.04%E -5.38%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-11 04:39
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -1.72%E -0.358%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.54%E -0.931%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:34
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -5.82%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-11 18:34
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.30%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -9.89%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-11 18:34
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-11 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.96%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.04%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -21.31%E -6.87%K -10.15%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-11 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -10.67%E -6.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 18:30
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -10.67%E -6.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-11 18:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.18%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61%0.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.18%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61%0.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.18%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61%0.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 55.18%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61%0.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.71%1.1%2026-05-11 15:40
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.93%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.1%2026-05-11 18:35