مدرسة الاحتمالات

Vitória SC v Casa Pia

البداية: 2026-05-11 19:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Vitória SC 0–1 Casa Pia

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Vitória SC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.14%1.85السعر العادل
EV -3.09%
الأفضلية -1.73%
Kelly -3.91%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.79

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.96%54.23%54.15%55.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.721.721.7960.61%58.21%58.14%55.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Casa Pia (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.47%4.88السعر العادل
EV -1.72%
الأفضلية -0.358%
Kelly -0.453%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.43%20.40%20.60%21.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.304.534.504.8023.26%22.07%22.22%20.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.38%3.94السعر العادل
EV -1.51%
الأفضلية -0.389%
Kelly -0.524%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.25%25.38%25.25%27.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.643.603.8832.26%27.46%27.78%25.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.21%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.78%EV -4.38%E -0.938%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.01%EV -1.51%E -0.389%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.19%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.76%EV -5.41%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.04%EV -2.78%E -0.725%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 18:35
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 18:35
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 18:34
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -5.82%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 04:39
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -5.82%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 04:39
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.82%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:34
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 18:35
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 18:33
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 18:34
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 04:39
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 04:39
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 04:39
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 04:39
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.78%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 18:34
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:34
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 04:39
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 04:39
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:35
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:34
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:34
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:35
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:35
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-11 18:34
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.43%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -3.77%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 18:34
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.43%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -3.77%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-11 18:34
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.29%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.97%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 18:35
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 18:34
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 18:34
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -5.82%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 18:34
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 04:39
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 04:39
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 04:39
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -9.89%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 04:39
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -9.89%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 04:39
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.73%EV -7.04%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.25%EV -1.51%E -0.389%K -0.524%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 18:33
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -3.77%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 18:34
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -3.54%E -0.931%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 18:34
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 18:35
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -9.89%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-11 04:39
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -9.89%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-11 04:39
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -8.50%E -5.03%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -1.72%E -0.358%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:33
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.04%E -5.38%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-11 18:34
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.21%EV -9.04%E -5.38%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-11 18:35
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 53.58%EV -9.04%E -5.38%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-11 04:39
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -1.72%E -0.358%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.54%E -0.931%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:34
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -5.82%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-11 18:34
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.30%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -9.89%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-11 18:34
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-11 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.96%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.04%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -21.31%E -6.87%K -10.15%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-11 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -10.67%E -6.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 18:30
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -10.67%E -6.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-11 18:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.18%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61%0.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.18%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61%0.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.18%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61%0.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 55.18%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61%0.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.71%1.1%2026-05-11 15:40
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.93%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.1%2026-05-11 18:35