La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Vitória SC v Casa Pia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vitória SC (Local)
Predicción 54.14%1.85momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -1.73%
Kelly -3.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.96%54.23%54.15%55.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.721.7960.61%58.21%58.14%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Casa Pia (Visitante)
Predicción 20.47%4.88momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -0.358%
Kelly -0.453%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.43%20.40%20.60%21.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.534.504.8023.26%22.07%22.22%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.38%3.94momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.389%
Kelly -0.524%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.25%25.38%25.25%27.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.643.603.8832.26%27.46%27.78%25.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.21%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.78%EV -4.38%E -0.938%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 25.01%EV -1.51%E -0.389%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.19%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.76%EV -5.41%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.04%EV -2.78%E -0.725%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -4.17%E -2.36%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -5.82%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 04:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -5.82%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 04:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.82%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 18:33 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Casumo | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 04:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 04:39 |
| Bally Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 04:39 |
| betPARX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.80%E -3.33%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 04:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.78%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Everygame | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 04:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 04:39 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.43%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -3.77%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.43%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -3.77%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.29%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.97%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.00%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -5.82%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Unibet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 04:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 04:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 04:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -9.89%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 04:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.88%E -4.00%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -9.89%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 04:39 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -7.42%E -4.34%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.73%EV -7.04%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.25%EV -1.51%E -0.389%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 18:33 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -3.77%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -3.54%E -0.931%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -9.89%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-11 04:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -7.96%E -4.68%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -9.89%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-11 04:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -8.50%E -5.03%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -1.72%E -0.358%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 18:33 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.04%E -5.38%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.21%EV -9.04%E -5.38%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.58%EV -9.04%E -5.38%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-11 04:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -1.72%E -0.358%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.54%E -0.931%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -5.82%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.30%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -9.89%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -8.62%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.96%EV -9.58%E -5.74%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.04%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -21.31%E -6.87%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -10.67%E -6.47%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 18:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -10.67%E -6.47%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -7.35%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.18% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.21% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61% | 0.1% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.18% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.21% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61% | 0.1% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.18% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.21% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61% | 0.1% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.18% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.21% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61% | 0.1% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.71% | 1.1% | 2026-05-11 15:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.93% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |