Language:English
Tondela v Rio Ave FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tondela (Local)
Prediction 44.25%2.26fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.588%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.99%44.27%44.16%45.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.102.102.2351.02%47.69%47.62%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rio Ave FC (Visit)
Prediction 27.03%3.70fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -0.746%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.99%27.00%27.09%28.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.473.503.6031.25%28.84%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.71%3.48fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -0.699%
Kelly -0.990%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.81%28.73%28.75%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.243.253.4034.72%30.82%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tondela (Local): 44.25%; Rio Ave FC (Visit): 27.03%; Draw: 28.71%. For Tondela (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.23, with an expected value of -1.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.45%EV -1.31%E -0.588%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.45%EV -4.58%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.10%EV -4.39%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-09 20:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -2.68%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-09 20:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -2.68%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-09 20:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.96%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.09%EV -3.50%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.95%EV -4.10%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 17:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.33%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.70%EV -7.82%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.97%EV -6.40%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 19:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 17:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 17:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-09 17:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.71%EV -5.74%E -2.69%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.60%EV -3.23%E -0.901%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.69%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 17:42 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.17%EV -5.74%E -2.69%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 20:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.97%EV -5.74%E -2.69%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 20:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.38%E -0.699%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -8.69%E -2.73%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 20:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.68%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 19:33 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 19:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 19:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 19:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 19:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 19:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 20:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 20:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-09 18:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.60%EV -8.39%E -4.05%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -2.68%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 19:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.60%EV -8.39%E -4.05%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -2.68%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -2.68%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 19:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 19:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 19:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-09 19:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-09 17:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-09 17:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-09 20:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-09 19:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -9.72%E -4.76%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -9.72%E -4.76%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -10.61%E -5.25%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -10.61%E -5.25%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -10.61%E -5.25%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -10.61%E -5.25%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -10.61%E -5.25%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -11.49%E -5.75%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-09 19:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.11%EV -11.49%E -5.75%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.95%EV -13.50%E -4.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.94%EV -17.31%E -6.01%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -13.26%E -6.77%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.89% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 0.3% | 2026-03-09 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.89% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 0.3% | 2026-03-09 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.89% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 0.3% | 2026-03-09 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.89% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 0.3% | 2026-03-09 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.77% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.97% | 1.5% | 2026-03-09 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39% | 2.1% | 2026-03-09 20:05 |