مدرسة الاحتمالات

Tondela v Rio Ave FC

البداية: 2026-03-09 20:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Tondela (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.25%2.26السعر العادل
EV -1.31%
الأفضلية -0.588%
Kelly -1.07%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.99%44.27%44.16%45.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.962.102.102.2351.02%47.69%47.62%44.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Rio Ave FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.03%3.70السعر العادل
EV -2.68%
الأفضلية -0.746%
Kelly -1.03%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.99%27.00%27.09%28.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.473.503.6031.25%28.84%28.57%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.71%3.48السعر العادل
EV -2.38%
الأفضلية -0.699%
Kelly -0.990%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.81%28.73%28.75%29.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.243.253.4034.72%30.82%30.77%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.45%EV -1.31%E -0.588%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.45%EV -4.58%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.10%EV -4.39%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 20:04
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -2.68%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 20:10
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -2.68%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 20:10
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.96%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.09%EV -3.50%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.95%EV -4.10%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 20:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 17:40
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 43.33%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.70%EV -7.82%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.97%EV -6.40%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 19:49
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 17:30
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 17:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 17:39
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 17:39
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-09 17:39
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 20:00
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 20:00
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 20:00
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 20:00
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.71%EV -5.74%E -2.69%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.60%EV -3.23%E -0.901%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.69%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 17:42
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 44.17%EV -5.74%E -2.69%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 20:08
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 43.97%EV -5.74%E -2.69%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 20:10
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.38%E -0.699%K -0.990%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 20:04
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -8.69%E -2.73%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 20:04
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-09 20:05
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-09 20:05
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 20:05
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.68%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-09 19:33
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 19:49
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 20:05
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 19:49
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 19:50
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 19:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 17:45
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 19:49
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 20:10
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 20:09
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-09 18:49
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.60%EV -8.39%E -4.05%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -2.68%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 19:24
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 45.60%EV -8.39%E -4.05%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -2.68%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 19:25
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -2.68%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 19:45
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 19:24
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 19:24
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 19:25
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 19:25
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 19:50
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 17:45
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 17:44
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-09 20:10
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-09 19:55
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-09 20:05
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -9.72%E -4.76%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 19:25
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -9.72%E -4.76%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 19:25
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -10.61%E -5.25%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 19:25
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -10.61%E -5.25%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 19:25
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -10.61%E -5.25%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -10.61%E -5.25%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-09 19:25
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -10.61%E -5.25%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-09 19:25
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -11.49%E -5.75%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 19:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.11%EV -11.49%E -5.75%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.95%EV -13.50%E -4.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.94%EV -17.31%E -6.01%K -9.21%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-09 20:05
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -13.26%E -6.77%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-09 19:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%0.3%2026-03-09 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%0.3%2026-03-09 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%0.3%2026-03-09 20:10
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%0.3%2026-03-09 20:10
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.77%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.97%1.5%2026-03-09 20:10
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39%2.1%2026-03-09 20:05