Szkoła KursówPolski
Tondela v Moreirense FC
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Tondela (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 47.07%2.12kurs godziwy
EV -3.50%
Przewaga -1.71%
Kelly -3.33%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.05
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
44.94%47.05%47.05%48.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.821.971.982.0554.95%50.67%50.51%48.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Moreirense FC (Goście)
Prognoza 25.64%3.90kurs godziwy
EV -1.29%
Przewaga -0.334%
Kelly -0.452%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.85
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.39%25.61%25.66%26.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.203.613.603.8531.25%27.70%27.78%25.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 27.29%3.66kurs godziwy
EV -3.41%
Przewaga -0.963%
Kelly -1.34%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.54
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.54%27.34%27.29%29.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.363.403.5434.72%29.77%29.41%28.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (41 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.36%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -1.29%E -0.334%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.42%EV -3.41%E -0.963%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 16:00 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-04 13:15 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 12:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 12:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.87%EV -4.44%E -2.19%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.79%EV -5.39%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.34%EV -5.05%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.35%EV -5.38%E -2.68%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-04 08:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.35%EV -5.38%E -2.68%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-04 08:08 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.85%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 07:29 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.69%EV -5.90%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.17%EV -5.32%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 00:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-04 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -7.18%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.77%E -2.30%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.59%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 00:59 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| Bovada | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 15:50 |
| BetUS | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 09:30 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 09:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -7.26%E -3.69%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 12:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.19%EV -7.26%E -3.69%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -3.85%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 15:48 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 16:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 15:43 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 15:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 12:40 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 15:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-05 15:19 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.59%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-04 06:05 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 14:53 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.26%EV -9.62%E -5.01%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.70%EV -5.32%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 08:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -9.62%E -5.01%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-05 15:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.09%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-05 15:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -10.09%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -12.83%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -21.42%E -7.44%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-04 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.30%EV -11.50%E -6.12%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -12.83%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -8.59%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-04 14:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -12.91%E -6.98%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-04 11:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 46.59%EV -14.32%E -7.87%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.50%EV -17.95%E -5.61%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.92%EV -14.05%E -4.46%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-04 14:09 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (4)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 47.68% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 34.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 17.90% | 71.9% | 2026-05-05 15:42 |