مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Tondela v Moreirense FC
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Tondela (المضيف)
التنبؤ 47.07%2.12السعر العادل
EV -3.50%
الأفضلية -1.71%
Kelly -3.33%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.05
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.94%47.05%47.05%48.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.821.971.982.0554.95%50.67%50.51%48.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Moreirense FC (الضيف)
التنبؤ 25.64%3.90السعر العادل
EV -1.29%
الأفضلية -0.334%
Kelly -0.452%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.39%25.61%25.66%26.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.613.603.8531.25%27.70%27.78%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 27.29%3.66السعر العادل
EV -3.41%
الأفضلية -0.963%
Kelly -1.34%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.54
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.54%27.34%27.29%29.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.363.403.5434.72%29.77%29.41%28.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (41 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.36%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -1.29%E -0.334%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.42%EV -3.41%E -0.963%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 16:00 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-04 13:15 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 12:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 12:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.87%EV -4.44%E -2.19%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.79%EV -5.39%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.34%EV -5.05%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.35%EV -5.38%E -2.68%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-04 08:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.35%EV -5.38%E -2.68%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-04 08:08 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.85%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 07:29 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.69%EV -5.90%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.17%EV -5.32%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 00:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-04 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -7.18%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.77%E -2.30%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.59%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 00:59 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| Bovada | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 15:50 |
| BetUS | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 09:30 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 09:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -7.26%E -3.69%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 12:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.19%EV -7.26%E -3.69%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -3.85%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 15:48 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 16:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 15:43 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 15:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 12:40 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 15:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-05 15:19 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.59%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-04 06:05 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 14:53 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.26%EV -9.62%E -5.01%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.70%EV -5.32%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 08:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -9.62%E -5.01%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-05 15:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.09%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-05 15:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -10.09%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -12.83%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -21.42%E -7.44%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-04 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.30%EV -11.50%E -6.12%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -12.83%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -8.59%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-04 14:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -12.91%E -6.98%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-04 11:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 46.59%EV -14.32%E -7.87%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.50%EV -17.95%E -5.61%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.92%EV -14.05%E -4.46%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-04 14:09 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (4)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 47.68% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 34.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 17.90% | 71.9% | 2026-05-05 15:42 |