La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Tondela v Moreirense FC
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Tondela (Casa)
Previsione 47.07%2.12quota equa
EV -3.50%
Vantaggio -1.71%
Kelly -3.33%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.94%47.05%47.05%48.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.821.971.982.0554.95%50.67%50.51%48.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Moreirense FC (Trasferta)
Previsione 25.64%3.90quota equa
EV -1.29%
Vantaggio -0.334%
Kelly -0.452%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.39%25.61%25.66%26.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.613.603.8531.25%27.70%27.78%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 27.29%3.66quota equa
EV -3.41%
Vantaggio -0.963%
Kelly -1.34%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.54
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.54%27.34%27.29%29.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.363.403.5434.72%29.77%29.41%28.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.36%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -1.29%E -0.334%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.42%EV -3.41%E -0.963%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 16:00 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-04 13:15 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 12:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 12:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.87%EV -4.44%E -2.19%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.79%EV -5.39%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.34%EV -5.05%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.35%EV -5.38%E -2.68%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-04 08:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.35%EV -5.38%E -2.68%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-04 08:08 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.85%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 07:29 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.69%EV -5.90%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.17%EV -5.32%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 00:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-04 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -7.18%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.77%E -2.30%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.59%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 00:59 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| Bovada | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 15:50 |
| BetUS | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 09:30 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.79%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 09:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -7.26%E -3.69%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 12:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.19%EV -7.26%E -3.69%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -3.85%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.86%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 15:48 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 16:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 15:43 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 15:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 12:40 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 15:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-05 15:19 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.59%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.23%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-04 06:05 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.20%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 14:53 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.26%EV -9.62%E -5.01%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.70%EV -5.32%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 08:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -9.62%E -5.01%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-05 15:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.09%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.32%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-05 15:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -10.09%E -5.28%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -12.83%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -21.42%E -7.44%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-04 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.30%EV -11.50%E -6.12%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -12.83%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -8.59%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-04 14:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -12.91%E -6.98%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-04 11:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 46.59%EV -14.32%E -7.87%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.50%EV -17.95%E -5.61%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.92%EV -14.05%E -4.46%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-04 14:09 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 15:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 47.68% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 34.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 17.90% | 71.9% | 2026-05-05 15:42 |