Szkoła Kursów

Sporting Lisbon v Santa Clara

Początek: 2026-04-03 19:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Sporting Lisbon (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 70.56%1.42kurs godziwy
EV -1.22%
Przewaga -0.869%
Kelly -3.04%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
67.92%70.45%70.53%74.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.241.311.301.4080.65%76.39%76.92%71.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Santa Clara (Goście)

Prognoza 10.53%9.50kurs godziwy
EV +15.83%
Przewaga +1.44%
Kelly +1.58%
Wzrost +0.251%

przy maksymalnym kursie 11.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
8.65%10.62%10.47%12.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
7.259.179.3011.0013.79%10.91%10.75%9.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 18.91%5.29kurs godziwy
EV +5.90%
Przewaga +1.05%
Kelly +1.28%
Wzrost +0.076%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
16.99%18.94%19.00%20.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.335.025.105.6023.09%19.91%19.61%17.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.35%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +15.83%E +1.44%K +1.58%G +0.251%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.99%EV +5.90%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.076%5.1%2026-04-03 18:55
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.19%EV -8.98%E -6.96%K -30.96%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.99%EV +10.57%E +1.01%K +1.11%G +0.117%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV +0.224%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 19:01
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.19%EV -8.98%E -6.96%K -30.96%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.99%EV +10.57%E +1.01%K +1.11%G +0.117%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV +0.224%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 19:01
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.57%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +10.57%E +1.01%K +1.11%G +0.117%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 19:05
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.26%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.61%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV +0.224%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 19:15
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.26%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.61%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV +0.224%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 19:15
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 19:01
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 19:01
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 19:01
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 19:01
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -8.98%E -6.96%K -30.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 19:05
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:01
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:01
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:01
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:01
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.83%EV -11.09%E -8.81%K -42.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.99%EV -3.56%E -0.698%K -0.868%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 19:01
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.83%EV -11.09%E -8.81%K -42.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.99%EV -3.56%E -0.698%K -0.868%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 19:01
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.99%EV -11.80%E -9.44%K -47.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -3.56%E -0.698%K -0.868%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 19:01
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.99%EV -11.80%E -9.44%K -47.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -3.56%E -0.698%K -0.868%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 19:01
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 71.63%EV -5.45%E -4.07%K -16.03%G +0.000%9.97I 10.03%NM 9.63%EV +4.98%E +0.500%K +0.556%G +0.028%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.75%EV -3.18%E -0.621%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 19:15
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.82%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 19:25
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.08%EV -7.57%E -5.78%K -24.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 19:19
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -8.98%E -6.96%K -30.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:20
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 72.32%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -3.56%E -0.698%K -0.868%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 19:19
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 72.54%EV -12.51%E -10.09%K -52.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 19:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.41%EV -11.80%E -9.44%K -47.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -18.12%E -4.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-03 19:05
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 71.10%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.17%EV -2.07%E -0.223%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.73%EV -4.50%E -0.892%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 19:24
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.58%EV -5.45%E -4.07%K -16.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 19:19
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 19:25
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.18%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 19:24
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 69.44%EV -5.45%E -4.07%K -16.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -13.01%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 19:24
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.87%EV -8.98%E -6.96%K -30.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.83%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 19:25
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.07%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -6.39%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 19:13
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 19:10
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.41%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV -7.34%E -0.834%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -11.12%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 19:15
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.41%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV -7.34%E -0.834%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -11.12%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 19:15
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.03%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -10.49%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.34%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 19:15
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -10.49%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 18:49
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -10.49%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 18:50
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -10.49%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -10.49%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 18:50
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.01%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.57%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.03%EV -13.13%E -1.59%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 19:10
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 69.28%EV -1.22%E -0.869%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.21I 12.18%NM 11.81%EV -13.55%E -1.65%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.91%EV -2.99%E -0.583%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-03 19:24
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -9.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -15.76%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 19:25
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -4.04%E -2.97%K -11.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -15.76%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 19:14
PlayUp1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -15.76%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.01%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 19:15
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -15.76%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.18%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 19:01
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -15.76%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 19:10
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.04%E -2.97%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -21.02%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.04%E -2.97%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -21.02%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 18:35
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -23.66%E -3.26%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -23.66%E -3.26%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 18:34
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.51%EV -4.04%E -2.97%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -23.66%E -3.26%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 18:42
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.64%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.6%2026-04-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.64%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.6%2026-04-03 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.64%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.6%2026-04-03 19:25
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.64%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.6%2026-04-03 19:25
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.30%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.89%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.81%1.2%2026-04-03 18:50
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.27%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.55%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.8%2026-04-03 19:25