النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Sporting Lisbon v Santa Clara

البداية: 2026-04-03 19:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Sporting Lisbon (المضيف)

التنبؤ 70.56%1.42السعر العادل
EV -1.22%
الأفضلية -0.869%
Kelly -3.04%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.92%70.45%70.53%74.35%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.241.311.301.4080.65%76.39%76.92%71.43%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Santa Clara (الضيف)

التنبؤ 10.53%9.50السعر العادل
EV +15.83%
الأفضلية +1.44%
Kelly +1.58%
النمو +0.251%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 11.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
8.65%10.62%10.47%12.88%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
7.259.179.3011.0013.79%10.91%10.75%9.09%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

تعادل

التنبؤ 18.91%5.29السعر العادل
EV +5.90%
الأفضلية +1.05%
Kelly +1.28%
النمو +0.076%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.99%18.94%19.00%20.53%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
4.335.025.105.6023.09%19.91%19.61%17.86%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Sporting Lisbon (المضيف)⁩: ⁨70.56%⁩؛ ⁨Santa Clara (الضيف)⁩: ⁨10.53%⁩؛ ⁨تعادل⁩: ⁨18.91%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Santa Clara (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨9.50⁩. عرضت 27 شركة مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨11.00⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+15.83%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.35%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +15.83%E +1.44%K +1.58%G +0.251%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.99%EV +5.90%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.076%5.1%2026-04-03 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.19%EV -8.98%E -6.96%K -30.96%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.99%EV +10.57%E +1.01%K +1.11%G +0.117%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV +0.224%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 19:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.19%EV -8.98%E -6.96%K -30.96%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.99%EV +10.57%E +1.01%K +1.11%G +0.117%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV +0.224%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 19:01
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.57%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +10.57%E +1.01%K +1.11%G +0.117%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.26%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.61%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV +0.224%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 19:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.26%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.61%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV +0.224%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 19:15
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 19:01
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 19:01
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 19:01
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 19:01
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -8.98%E -6.96%K -30.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 19:05
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:01
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:01
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.83%EV -11.09%E -8.81%K -42.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.99%EV -3.56%E -0.698%K -0.868%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 19:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.83%EV -11.09%E -8.81%K -42.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.99%EV -3.56%E -0.698%K -0.868%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 19:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.99%EV -11.80%E -9.44%K -47.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -3.56%E -0.698%K -0.868%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 19:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.99%EV -11.80%E -9.44%K -47.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -3.56%E -0.698%K -0.868%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 19:01
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.63%EV -5.45%E -4.07%K -16.03%G +0.000%9.97I 10.03%NM 9.63%EV +4.98%E +0.500%K +0.556%G +0.028%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.75%EV -3.18%E -0.621%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 19:15
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.82%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 19:25
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.08%EV -7.57%E -5.78%K -24.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 19:19
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -8.98%E -6.96%K -30.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:20
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.32%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -3.56%E -0.698%K -0.868%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 19:19
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.54%EV -12.51%E -10.09%K -52.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 19:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.41%EV -11.80%E -9.44%K -47.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -18.12%E -4.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-03 19:05
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.10%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.17%EV -2.07%E -0.223%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.73%EV -4.50%E -0.892%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 19:24
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.58%EV -5.45%E -4.07%K -16.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 19:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.18%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 19:24
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.44%EV -5.45%E -4.07%K -16.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -13.01%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 19:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.87%EV -8.98%E -6.96%K -30.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.83%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 19:25
Everygame🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 18:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.07%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -6.39%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 19:13
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 19:10
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.41%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV -7.34%E -0.834%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -11.12%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 19:15
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.41%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV -7.34%E -0.834%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -11.12%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 19:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.03%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -10.49%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.34%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 19:15
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -10.49%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 18:49
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -10.49%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -10.49%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -10.49%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 18:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.01%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.57%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.03%EV -13.13%E -1.59%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 19:10
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.28%EV -1.22%E -0.869%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.21I 12.18%NM 11.81%EV -13.55%E -1.65%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.91%EV -2.99%E -0.583%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-03 19:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -9.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -15.76%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 19:25
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -4.04%E -2.97%K -11.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -15.76%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 19:14
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -15.76%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.01%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 19:15
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -15.76%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.18%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 19:01
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -15.76%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 19:10
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.04%E -2.97%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -21.02%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.04%E -2.97%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -21.02%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 18:35
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -23.66%E -3.26%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -23.66%E -3.26%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 18:34
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.51%EV -4.04%E -2.97%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -23.66%E -3.26%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 18:42
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.64%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.6%2026-04-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.64%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.6%2026-04-03 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.64%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.6%2026-04-03 19:25
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.64%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.6%2026-04-03 19:25
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.30%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.89%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.81%1.2%2026-04-03 18:50
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.27%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.55%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.8%2026-04-03 19:25