La scuola delle quote

Sporting Lisbon v Santa Clara

Inizio: 2026-04-03 19:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sporting Lisbon (Casa)

Previsione 70.56%1.42quota equa
EV -1.22%
Vantaggio -0.869%
Kelly -3.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.92%70.45%70.53%74.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.241.311.301.4080.65%76.39%76.92%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Santa Clara (Trasferta)

Previsione 10.53%9.50quota equa
EV +15.83%
Vantaggio +1.44%
Kelly +1.58%
Crescita +0.251%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.65%10.62%10.47%12.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.259.179.3011.0013.79%10.91%10.75%9.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 18.91%5.29quota equa
EV +5.90%
Vantaggio +1.05%
Kelly +1.28%
Crescita +0.076%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.99%18.94%19.00%20.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.335.025.105.6023.09%19.91%19.61%17.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.35%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +15.83%E +1.44%K +1.58%G +0.251%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.99%EV +5.90%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.076%5.1%2026-04-03 18:55
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.19%EV -8.98%E -6.96%K -30.96%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.99%EV +10.57%E +1.01%K +1.11%G +0.117%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV +0.224%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 19:01
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.19%EV -8.98%E -6.96%K -30.96%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.99%EV +10.57%E +1.01%K +1.11%G +0.117%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV +0.224%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 19:01
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.57%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +10.57%E +1.01%K +1.11%G +0.117%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 19:05
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.26%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.61%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV +0.224%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 19:15
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.26%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.61%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV +0.224%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 19:15
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 19:01
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 19:01
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 19:01
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 19:01
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -8.98%E -6.96%K -30.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 19:05
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:01
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:01
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:01
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:01
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.83%EV -11.09%E -8.81%K -42.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.99%EV -3.56%E -0.698%K -0.868%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 19:01
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.83%EV -11.09%E -8.81%K -42.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.99%EV -3.56%E -0.698%K -0.868%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 19:01
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.99%EV -11.80%E -9.44%K -47.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -3.56%E -0.698%K -0.868%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 19:01
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.99%EV -11.80%E -9.44%K -47.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -3.56%E -0.698%K -0.868%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 19:01
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 71.63%EV -5.45%E -4.07%K -16.03%G +0.000%9.97I 10.03%NM 9.63%EV +4.98%E +0.500%K +0.556%G +0.028%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.75%EV -3.18%E -0.621%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 19:15
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.82%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 19:25
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.08%EV -7.57%E -5.78%K -24.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 19:19
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -8.98%E -6.96%K -30.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:20
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 72.32%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -3.56%E -0.698%K -0.868%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 19:19
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 72.54%EV -12.51%E -10.09%K -52.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 19:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.41%EV -11.80%E -9.44%K -47.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -18.12%E -4.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-03 19:05
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 71.10%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.17%EV -2.07%E -0.223%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.73%EV -4.50%E -0.892%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 19:24
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.58%EV -5.45%E -4.07%K -16.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 19:19
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 19:25
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.18%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 19:24
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 69.44%EV -5.45%E -4.07%K -16.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -13.01%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 19:24
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.87%EV -8.98%E -6.96%K -30.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.83%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 19:25
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.07%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -6.39%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 19:13
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 19:10
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.41%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV -7.34%E -0.834%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -11.12%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 19:15
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.41%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV -7.34%E -0.834%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -11.12%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 19:15
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.03%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -10.49%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.34%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 19:15
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -10.49%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 18:49
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -10.49%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 18:50
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -10.49%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -10.49%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 18:50
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.01%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.57%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.03%EV -13.13%E -1.59%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 19:10
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 69.28%EV -1.22%E -0.869%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.21I 12.18%NM 11.81%EV -13.55%E -1.65%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.91%EV -2.99%E -0.583%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-03 19:24
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -9.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -15.76%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 19:25
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -4.04%E -2.97%K -11.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -15.76%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 19:14
PlayUp1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -15.76%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.01%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 19:15
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -15.76%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.18%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 19:01
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -15.76%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 19:10
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.04%E -2.97%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -21.02%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.04%E -2.97%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -21.02%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 18:35
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -23.66%E -3.26%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -23.66%E -3.26%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 18:34
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.51%EV -4.04%E -2.97%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -23.66%E -3.26%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 18:42
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.64%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.6%2026-04-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.64%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.6%2026-04-03 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.64%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.6%2026-04-03 19:25
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.64%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.6%2026-04-03 19:25
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.30%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.89%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.81%1.2%2026-04-03 18:50
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.27%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.55%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.8%2026-04-03 19:25