Die Schule der Quoten

Sporting Lisbon v Santa Clara

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-03 19:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Sporting Lisbon (Heim)

Prognose 70.56%1.42faire Quote
EV -1.22%
Vorteil -0.869%
Kelly -3.04%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
67.92%70.45%70.53%74.35%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.241.311.301.4080.65%76.39%76.92%71.43%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Santa Clara (Auswärts)

Prognose 10.53%9.50faire Quote
EV +15.83%
Vorteil +1.44%
Kelly +1.58%
Wachstum +0.251%

bei einer Höchstquote von 11.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
8.65%10.62%10.47%12.88%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
7.259.179.3011.0013.79%10.91%10.75%9.09%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 18.91%5.29faire Quote
EV +5.90%
Vorteil +1.05%
Kelly +1.28%
Wachstum +0.076%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.99%18.94%19.00%20.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.335.025.105.6023.09%19.91%19.61%17.86%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.35%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +15.83%E +1.44%K +1.58%G +0.251%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.99%EV +5.90%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.076%5.1%2026-04-03 18:55
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.19%EV -8.98%E -6.96%K -30.96%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.99%EV +10.57%E +1.01%K +1.11%G +0.117%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV +0.224%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 19:01
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.19%EV -8.98%E -6.96%K -30.96%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.99%EV +10.57%E +1.01%K +1.11%G +0.117%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV +0.224%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 19:01
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.57%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +10.57%E +1.01%K +1.11%G +0.117%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 19:05
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.26%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.61%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV +0.224%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 19:15
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.26%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.61%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV +0.224%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 19:15
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 19:01
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 19:01
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 19:01
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.68%E -7.57%K -34.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 19:01
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -8.98%E -6.96%K -30.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 19:05
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:01
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:01
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:01
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:01
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.83%EV -11.09%E -8.81%K -42.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.99%EV -3.56%E -0.698%K -0.868%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 19:01
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.83%EV -11.09%E -8.81%K -42.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.99%EV -3.56%E -0.698%K -0.868%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 19:01
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.99%EV -11.80%E -9.44%K -47.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -3.56%E -0.698%K -0.868%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 19:01
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.99%EV -11.80%E -9.44%K -47.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV +5.30%E +0.530%K +0.589%G +0.031%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -3.56%E -0.698%K -0.868%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 19:01
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 71.63%EV -5.45%E -4.07%K -16.03%G +0.000%9.97I 10.03%NM 9.63%EV +4.98%E +0.500%K +0.556%G +0.028%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.75%EV -3.18%E -0.621%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 19:15
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.82%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 19:25
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.08%EV -7.57%E -5.78%K -24.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 19:19
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -8.98%E -6.96%K -30.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 19:20
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 72.32%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -3.56%E -0.698%K -0.868%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 19:19
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 72.54%EV -12.51%E -10.09%K -52.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 19:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.41%EV -11.80%E -9.44%K -47.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV +0.035%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -18.12%E -4.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-03 19:05
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 71.10%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.17%EV -2.07%E -0.223%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.73%EV -4.50%E -0.892%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 19:24
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.58%EV -5.45%E -4.07%K -16.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 19:19
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 19:25
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.18%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 19:24
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 69.44%EV -5.45%E -4.07%K -16.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -13.01%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 19:24
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.87%EV -8.98%E -6.96%K -30.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.83%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 19:25
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.07%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -6.39%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 19:13
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.68%EV -10.39%E -8.18%K -38.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.23%E -0.581%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 19:10
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.41%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV -7.34%E -0.834%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -11.12%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 19:15
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.41%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV -7.34%E -0.834%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -11.12%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 19:15
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.03%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -10.49%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.34%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 19:15
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -10.49%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 18:49
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -10.49%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 18:50
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -10.49%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -10.49%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 18:50
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.01%EV -8.27%E -6.36%K -27.57%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.03%EV -13.13%E -1.59%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 19:10
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 69.28%EV -1.22%E -0.869%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.21I 12.18%NM 11.81%EV -13.55%E -1.65%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.91%EV -2.99%E -0.583%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-03 19:24
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.33%E -2.43%K -9.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -15.76%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 19:25
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -4.04%E -2.97%K -11.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -15.76%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 19:14
PlayUp1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -15.76%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -13.01%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 19:15
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -15.76%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.18%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 19:01
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -6.16%E -4.63%K -18.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -15.76%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 19:10
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.04%E -2.97%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -21.02%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.04%E -2.97%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -21.02%E -2.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -0.722%E -0.137%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 18:35
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -23.66%E -3.26%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -4.74%E -3.51%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -23.66%E -3.26%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -1.67%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 18:34
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.51%EV -4.04%E -2.97%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -23.66%E -3.26%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.45%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 18:42
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.64%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.6%2026-04-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.64%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.6%2026-04-03 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.64%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.6%2026-04-03 19:25
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.64%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08%0.6%2026-04-03 19:25
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.30%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.89%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.81%1.2%2026-04-03 18:50
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.27%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.55%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.8%2026-04-03 19:25