收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
假设最高赔率为 1.22
假设最高赔率为 15.00
假设最高赔率为 7.67
按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Sporting Lisbon (主队):77.62%;Nacional (客队):8.07%;平局:14.31%。 对于“Nacional (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.40。 当时有17家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为15.00,对应+21.01%的正期望值。
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -9.18%E -7.85%K -54.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV +21.01%E +1.40%K +1.50%G +0.315% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +0.162%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -9.96%E -8.58%K -62.23%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV +21.01%E +1.40%K +1.50%G +0.315% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV +0.162%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -10.73%E -9.33%K -71.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +21.01%E +1.40%K +1.50%G +0.315% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +0.162%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.26%EV -6.85%E -5.71%K -34.26%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.31%EV +16.98%E +1.17%K +1.26%G +0.214% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -24.88%E -4.74%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.26%EV -6.85%E -5.71%K -34.26%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.31%EV +16.98%E +1.17%K +1.26%G +0.214% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -24.88%E -4.74%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:28 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.55%EV -6.85%E -5.71%K -34.26%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV +12.94%E +0.925%K +0.996%G +0.129% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +0.162%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -8.40%E -7.12%K -46.69%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +12.94%E +0.925%K +0.996%G +0.129% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.162%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 13:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -8.40%E -7.12%K -46.69%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +12.94%E +0.925%K +0.996%G +0.129% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.162%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -8.40%E -7.12%K -46.69%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +12.94%E +0.925%K +0.996%G +0.129% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.162%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -8.40%E -7.12%K -46.69%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +12.94%E +0.925%K +0.996%G +0.129% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.162%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -8.40%E -7.12%K -46.69%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +12.94%E +0.925%K +0.996%G +0.129% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.162%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 13:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -8.40%E -7.12%K -46.69%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +12.94%E +0.925%K +0.996%G +0.129% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.162%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -5.30%E -4.34%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +12.94%E +0.925%K +0.996%G +0.129% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -21.30%E -3.87%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -10.73%E -9.33%K -71.55%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV +12.94%E +0.925%K +0.996%G +0.129% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV +0.162%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:28 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.73%EV -6.85%E -5.71%K -34.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +4.88%E +0.375%K +0.406%G +0.020% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -3.41%E -0.506%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -6.85%E -5.71%K -34.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +4.88%E +0.375%K +0.406%G +0.020% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.84%EV -9.18%E -7.85%K -54.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +4.88%E +0.375%K +0.406%G +0.020% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV +3.02%E +0.420%K +0.488%G +0.015% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 07:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -7.63%E -6.41%K -40.15%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -7.63%E -6.41%K -40.15%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -9.18%E -7.85%K -54.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -9.96%E -8.58%K -62.23%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 13:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -9.96%E -8.58%K -62.23%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 13:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -9.96%E -8.58%K -62.23%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -10.73%E -9.33%K -71.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -10.73%E -9.33%K -71.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -10.73%E -9.33%K -71.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -10.73%E -9.33%K -71.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -10.73%E -9.33%K -71.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -10.73%E -9.33%K -71.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 13:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.19%EV -12.29%E -10.87%K -94.50%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -3.19%E -0.266%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.36%EV -4.13%E -0.616%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.60%EV -7.63%E -6.41%K -40.15%G +0.000% | 11.76I 8.50%NM 8.05%EV -5.13%E -0.436%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 7.67I 13.04%NM 12.35%EV +9.75%E +1.27%K +1.46%G +0.143% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -9.18%E -7.85%K -54.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -7.22%E -0.628%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -9.18%E -7.85%K -54.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -7.22%E -0.628%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 14:28 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.63%EV -11.51%E -10.10%K -82.21%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.79%EV -7.22%E -0.628%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.58%EV -5.56%E -0.843%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.52%EV -5.30%E -4.34%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.30%EV -9.24%E -0.821%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.18%EV -12.00%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.30%E -4.34%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -11.26%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.30%E -4.34%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -11.26%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.30%E -4.34%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -11.26%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.30%E -4.34%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -11.26%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.83%EV -5.30%E -4.34%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -11.26%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -8.42%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.83%EV -5.30%E -4.34%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -11.26%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -8.42%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -6.08%E -5.02%K -28.93%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -11.26%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.30%E -4.34%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -11.26%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.15%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.30%E -4.34%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -11.26%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.15%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.30%E -4.34%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -11.26%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.15%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.30%E -4.34%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -11.26%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.15%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.40%E -7.12%K -46.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -11.26%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.73%EV -9.18%E -7.85%K -54.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -15.29%E -1.46%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.72%EV -12.72%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -5.30%E -4.34%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -19.33%E -1.93%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -21.30%E -3.87%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-03 10:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.65%EV -9.96%E -8.58%K -62.23%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -19.33%E -1.93%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -3.41%E -0.506%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-04 13:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.31%EV -5.30%E -4.34%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.38%EV -20.94%E -2.14%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -14.15%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.31%EV -5.30%E -4.34%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.38%EV -20.94%E -2.14%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -14.15%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.31%EV -5.30%E -4.34%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.38%EV -20.94%E -2.14%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -14.15%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.04%EV -10.73%E -9.33%K -71.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.33%EV -23.36%E -2.46%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.93% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.36% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.18% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.94% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.88% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.81% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.50% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.81% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.50% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.81% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.50% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 17.51I 5.71%NM 5.63% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.96% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |