赔率学院

Nacional v Estoril

开赛时间: 2026-03-15 15:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Nacional (主队)

预测 40.07%2.50公平赔率
EV -1.83%
优势 -0.746%
Kelly -1.26%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布
38.08%40.15%40.10%41.94%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.152.302.302.4546.51%43.49%43.48%40.82%MIN均值中位数MAX

Estoril (客队)

预测 33.32%3.00公平赔率
EV -1.70%
优势 -0.575%
Kelly -0.870%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.95

博彩公司预测分布
31.61%33.28%33.37%34.28%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.502.822.802.9540.00%35.42%35.71%33.90%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 26.61%3.76公平赔率
EV -0.225%
优势 -0.060%
Kelly -0.082%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
25.06%26.58%26.53%27.88%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.103.503.503.7532.26%28.56%28.57%26.67%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.46%EV -1.83%E -0.746%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.69%EV -4.36%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 15:15
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.39%EV -2.23%E -0.914%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 15:05
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.39%EV -2.23%E -0.914%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 15:05
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.12%EV -2.36%E -0.806%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.44%EV -2.35%E -0.641%K -0.882%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 15:25
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 15:05
Bovada2.39I 41.84%NM 39.43%EV -4.23%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 15:15
BetUS2.39I 41.84%NM 39.43%EV -4.23%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 15:20
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -7.36%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:05
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -7.36%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:05
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 15:25
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 15:20
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 15:25
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 15:25
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.26%EV -5.03%E -2.12%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.24%EV -4.36%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 14:45
Marathon Bet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.53%EV -5.44%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.20%EV -6.36%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -9.01%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:25
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 15:10
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 15:24
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 15:25
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 15:05
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 15:05
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.06%EV -7.04%E -3.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -2.89%E -0.791%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 14:43
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.225%E -0.060%K -0.082%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 14:50
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -1.56%E -0.420%K -0.576%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 14:50
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 14:45
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 14:45
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -2.89%E -0.791%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 14:50
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 14:45
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 14:44
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:25
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:25
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 15:04
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 15:25
GTbets2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.64%E -3.79%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.39%EV -5.28%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 14:45
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -1.70%E -0.575%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 14:35
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -1.70%E -0.575%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 14:35
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -1.56%E -0.420%K -0.576%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 14:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 15:10
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -2.89%E -0.791%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 14:45
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -16.69%E -6.68%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -17.52%E -5.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-15 15:25
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -10.64%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -1.70%E -0.575%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 09:10
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -10.64%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -1.70%E -0.575%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 09:10
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -10.64%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -1.70%E -0.575%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 09:09
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -10.64%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -1.70%E -0.575%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 09:09
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -10.64%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:50
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -10.64%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 15:05
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.80%EV -11.04%E -4.98%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 14:50
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -11.85%E -5.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 14:35
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -11.85%E -5.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 14:35
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -11.85%E -5.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -11.85%E -5.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 14:35
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -11.85%E -5.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 14:35
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -11.85%E -5.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -12.69%E -4.84%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 14:40
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -12.65%E -5.80%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 14:35
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -13.85%E -6.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 14:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-03-15 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-03-15 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-03-15 15:25
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.34%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-03-15 15:25
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.58%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-03-15 15:20
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.79%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-03-15 15:15