Школа коэффициентов

Nacional v Estoril

Начало: 2026-03-15 15:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Nacional (Хозяева)

Прогноз 40.07%2.50справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.83%
Преимущество -0.746%
Kelly -1.26%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.45

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.08%40.15%40.10%41.94%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.152.302.302.4546.51%43.49%43.48%40.82%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Estoril (Гости)

Прогноз 33.32%3.00справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.70%
Преимущество -0.575%
Kelly -0.870%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.95

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.61%33.28%33.37%34.28%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.502.822.802.9540.00%35.42%35.71%33.90%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 26.61%3.76справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.225%
Преимущество -0.060%
Kelly -0.082%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.06%26.58%26.53%27.88%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.503.503.7532.26%28.56%28.57%26.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.46%EV -1.83%E -0.746%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.69%EV -4.36%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 15:15
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.39%EV -2.23%E -0.914%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 15:05
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.39%EV -2.23%E -0.914%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 15:05
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.12%EV -2.36%E -0.806%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.44%EV -2.35%E -0.641%K -0.882%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 15:25
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 15:05
Bovada2.39I 41.84%NM 39.43%EV -4.23%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 15:15
BetUS2.39I 41.84%NM 39.43%EV -4.23%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 15:20
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -7.36%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:05
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -7.36%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:05
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 15:25
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 15:20
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 15:25
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 15:25
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.26%EV -5.03%E -2.12%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.24%EV -4.36%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 14:45
Marathon Bet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.53%EV -5.44%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.20%EV -6.36%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -9.01%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:25
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 15:10
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 15:24
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 15:25
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 15:05
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 15:05
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.06%EV -7.04%E -3.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -2.89%E -0.791%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 14:43
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.225%E -0.060%K -0.082%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 14:50
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -1.56%E -0.420%K -0.576%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 14:50
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 14:45
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 14:45
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -2.89%E -0.791%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 14:50
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 14:45
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 14:44
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:25
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:25
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 15:04
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 15:25
GTbets2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.64%E -3.79%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.39%EV -5.28%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 14:45
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -1.70%E -0.575%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 14:35
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -1.70%E -0.575%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 14:35
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -1.56%E -0.420%K -0.576%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 14:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 15:10
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -2.89%E -0.791%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 14:45
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -16.69%E -6.68%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -17.52%E -5.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-15 15:25
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -10.64%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -1.70%E -0.575%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 09:10
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -10.64%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -1.70%E -0.575%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 09:10
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -10.64%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -1.70%E -0.575%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 09:09
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -10.64%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -1.70%E -0.575%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 09:09
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -10.64%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:50
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -10.64%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 15:05
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.80%EV -11.04%E -4.98%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 14:50
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -11.85%E -5.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 14:35
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -11.85%E -5.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 14:35
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -11.85%E -5.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -11.85%E -5.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 14:35
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -11.85%E -5.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 14:35
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -11.85%E -5.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -12.69%E -4.84%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 14:40
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -12.65%E -5.80%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 14:35
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -13.85%E -6.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 14:35
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-03-15 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-03-15 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-03-15 15:25
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.34%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-03-15 15:25
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.58%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-03-15 15:20
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.79%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-03-15 15:15