Die Schule der Quoten

Nacional v Estoril

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-15 15:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Nacional (Heim)

Prognose 40.07%2.50faire Quote
EV -1.83%
Vorteil -0.746%
Kelly -1.26%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.08%40.15%40.10%41.94%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.152.302.302.4546.51%43.49%43.48%40.82%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Estoril (Auswärts)

Prognose 33.32%3.00faire Quote
EV -1.70%
Vorteil -0.575%
Kelly -0.870%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.95

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.61%33.28%33.37%34.28%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.502.822.802.9540.00%35.42%35.71%33.90%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.61%3.76faire Quote
EV -0.225%
Vorteil -0.060%
Kelly -0.082%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.06%26.58%26.53%27.88%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.103.503.503.7532.26%28.56%28.57%26.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.46%EV -1.83%E -0.746%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.69%EV -4.36%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 15:15
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.39%EV -2.23%E -0.914%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 15:05
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.39%EV -2.23%E -0.914%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 15:05
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.12%EV -2.36%E -0.806%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.44%EV -2.35%E -0.641%K -0.882%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 15:25
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 15:05
Bovada2.39I 41.84%NM 39.43%EV -4.23%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 15:15
BetUS2.39I 41.84%NM 39.43%EV -4.23%E -1.77%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 15:20
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -7.36%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:05
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -7.36%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:05
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 15:25
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 15:20
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 15:25
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 15:25
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.26%EV -5.03%E -2.12%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.24%EV -4.36%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 14:45
Marathon Bet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.53%EV -5.44%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.20%EV -6.36%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -9.01%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:25
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 15:10
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 15:24
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 15:25
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 15:05
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 15:05
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.06%EV -7.04%E -3.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -2.89%E -0.791%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 14:43
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.225%E -0.060%K -0.082%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 14:50
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -1.56%E -0.420%K -0.576%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 14:50
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 14:45
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 14:45
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -2.89%E -0.791%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 14:50
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 14:45
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 14:44
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:25
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:25
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.03%E -3.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 15:04
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 15:25
GTbets2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.64%E -3.79%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.39%EV -5.28%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 14:45
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -1.70%E -0.575%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 14:35
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -1.70%E -0.575%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 14:35
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -1.56%E -0.420%K -0.576%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 14:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 15:10
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -2.89%E -0.791%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 14:45
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -16.69%E -6.68%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -17.52%E -5.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-15 15:25
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -10.64%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -1.70%E -0.575%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 09:10
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -10.64%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -1.70%E -0.575%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 09:10
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -10.64%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -1.70%E -0.575%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 09:09
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -10.64%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -1.70%E -0.575%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 09:09
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -10.64%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:50
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -10.64%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 15:05
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.80%EV -11.04%E -4.98%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.36%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 14:50
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -11.85%E -5.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 14:35
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -11.85%E -5.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 14:35
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -11.85%E -5.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -11.85%E -5.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 14:35
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -11.85%E -5.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -3.36%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.88%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 14:35
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -11.85%E -5.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -12.69%E -4.84%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 14:40
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -12.65%E -5.80%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 14:35
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -13.85%E -6.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 14:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-03-15 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-03-15 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-03-15 15:25
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.34%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-03-15 15:25
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.58%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-03-15 15:20
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.79%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-03-15 15:15