Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.22
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Nacional (Casa): 39.75%; CF Estrela (Trasferta): 30.65%; Pareggio: 29.60%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.38. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.35, con un valore atteso del -0.843%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.40%E -1.40%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.07%EV -1.32%E -0.410%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.07%EV -4.69%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -5.00%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -2.32%E -0.704%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.46%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.46%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -2.32%E -0.704%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.00%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 14:23 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.22%EV -4.99%E -2.09%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -4.38%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 14:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.22%EV -4.99%E -2.09%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -4.38%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -5.38%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.00%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -6.53%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.84%EV -6.97%E -2.98%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -5.61%E -1.82%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -7.65%E -2.45%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.69%EV -7.77%E -3.35%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.35%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.96%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-26 08:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.93%E -0.604%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.00%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.13%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.13%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 14:03 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.74%E -4.08%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -9.36%E -4.11%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -6.53%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -0.843%E -0.252%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -9.36%E -4.11%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -6.53%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -0.843%E -0.252%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -9.36%E -4.11%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -6.53%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -0.843%E -0.252%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -9.36%E -4.11%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -6.53%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -0.843%E -0.252%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -9.36%E -4.11%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -6.53%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -0.843%E -0.252%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -9.36%E -4.11%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -6.53%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -0.843%E -0.252%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 14:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.59%EV -9.76%E -4.30%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.66%E -4.44%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -14.19%E -5.07%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.70%EV -11.35%E -5.09%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.54%EV -5.87%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 14:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 14:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -11.13%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -11.13%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -11.13%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.10%EV -13.33%E -6.12%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -11.13%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.10%EV -13.33%E -6.12%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -11.13%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.10%EV -13.33%E -6.12%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -11.13%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -14.53%E -6.76%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -11.13%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.40% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.07% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.83% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |