Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.22
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Nacional (Local): 39.75%; CF Estrela (Visitante): 30.65%; Empate: 29.60%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.38. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.35, con un valor esperado de -0.843%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.40%E -1.40%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.07%EV -1.32%E -0.410%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.07%EV -4.69%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -5.00%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -2.32%E -0.704%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.46%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.46%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -2.32%E -0.704%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.00%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 14:23 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.22%EV -4.99%E -2.09%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -4.38%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 14:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.22%EV -4.99%E -2.09%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -4.38%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -9.72%E -3.19%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -5.38%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.00%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -6.53%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.84%EV -6.97%E -2.98%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -5.61%E -1.82%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -7.65%E -2.45%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.69%EV -7.77%E -3.35%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.35%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.96%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-26 08:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.93%E -0.604%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.00%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.24%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.13%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.13%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 14:03 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.74%E -4.08%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -9.36%E -4.11%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -6.53%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -0.843%E -0.252%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -9.36%E -4.11%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -6.53%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -0.843%E -0.252%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -9.36%E -4.11%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -6.53%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -0.843%E -0.252%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -9.36%E -4.11%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -6.53%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -0.843%E -0.252%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -9.36%E -4.11%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -6.53%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -0.843%E -0.252%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -9.36%E -4.11%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -6.53%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -0.843%E -0.252%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 14:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.59%EV -9.76%E -4.30%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.20%E -3.73%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.66%E -4.44%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -3.80%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -14.19%E -5.07%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.70%EV -11.35%E -5.09%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.54%EV -5.87%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 14:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 14:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -9.59%E -3.25%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -11.13%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -11.13%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -11.13%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.10%EV -13.33%E -6.12%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -11.13%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.10%EV -13.33%E -6.12%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -11.13%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.10%EV -13.33%E -6.12%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -11.13%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -5.28%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -14.53%E -6.76%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -11.13%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.40% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.07% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.83% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |