A Escola das Odds

Nacional v AVS Futebol SAD

Início: 2026-05-02 14:30 UTC

Final: Nacional 1–2 AVS Futebol SAD

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Nacional (Local)

Previsão 63.33%1.58odd justa
EV -4.38%
Vantagem -2.90%
Kelly -8.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.13%63.20%63.38%65.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.401.481.491.5171.43%67.74%67.11%66.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

AVS Futebol SAD (Visitante)

Previsão 15.77%6.34odd justa
EV +2.47%
Vantagem +0.381%
Kelly +0.450%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.37%15.81%15.74%17.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.305.865.906.5018.87%17.06%16.95%15.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 20.91%4.78odd justa
EV -0.686%
Vantagem -0.145%
Kelly -0.183%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.65%20.99%20.89%22.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.334.304.7526.67%23.07%23.26%21.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -10.08%E -7.10%K -23.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +2.47%E +0.381%K +0.450%G +0.011%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -1.73%E -0.368%K -0.468%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 14:00
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.19%EV +0.109%E +0.017%K +0.020%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 14:25
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -1.47%E -0.235%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.25%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -1.47%E -0.235%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.61%EV -4.78%E -0.791%K -0.948%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.53%EV -8.42%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -0.686%E -0.145%K -0.183%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 13:55
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 63.16%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -6.96%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:25
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 63.16%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -6.96%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:25
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:16
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -0.686%E -0.145%K -0.183%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 14:05
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.97%EV -6.96%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 14:05
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 14:15
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.18%E -5.64%K -18.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 14:20
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:50
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -9.44%E -6.60%K -21.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:19
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.44%E -6.60%K -21.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.44%E -6.60%K -21.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.46%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -6.98%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 14:10
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -6.98%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:20
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -6.98%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:10
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 09:21
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 09:21
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 14:10
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 14:10
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 14:10
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 14:04
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.33%EV -9.44%E -6.60%K -21.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.61%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 14:10
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:20
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 14:25
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:15
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 14:00
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 14:01
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 14:00
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -14.28%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 14:10
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -14.28%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -11.71%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:20
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -11.71%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:20
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.98%EV -9.44%E -6.60%K -21.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -11.71%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 14:09
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -8.18%E -5.64%K -18.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.71%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -14.28%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 14:15
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -13.29%E -2.42%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:20
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -13.29%E -2.42%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:46
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -13.29%E -2.42%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -9.47%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -11.34%E -8.10%K -28.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -13.29%E -2.42%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -21.59%E -5.76%K -7.85%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.54%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -14.87%E -2.75%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.38%EV -8.18%E -5.64%K -18.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -16.44%E -3.10%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 14:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-05-02 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.23%0.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.08%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.47%1.8%2026-05-02 14:25
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.73%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.64%1.8%2026-05-02 14:25