مدرسة الاحتمالات

Nacional v AVS Futebol SAD

البداية: 2026-05-02 14:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Nacional 1–2 AVS Futebol SAD

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Nacional (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.33%1.58السعر العادل
EV -4.38%
الأفضلية -2.90%
Kelly -8.58%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.13%63.20%63.38%65.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.481.491.5171.43%67.74%67.11%66.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

AVS Futebol SAD (الضيف)

التنبؤ 15.77%6.34السعر العادل
EV +2.47%
الأفضلية +0.381%
Kelly +0.450%
النمو +0.011%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.37%15.81%15.74%17.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.305.865.906.5018.87%17.06%16.95%15.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 20.91%4.78السعر العادل
EV -0.686%
الأفضلية -0.145%
Kelly -0.183%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.65%20.99%20.89%22.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.334.304.7526.67%23.07%23.26%21.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -10.08%E -7.10%K -23.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +2.47%E +0.381%K +0.450%G +0.011%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -1.73%E -0.368%K -0.468%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 14:00
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.19%EV +0.109%E +0.017%K +0.020%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 14:25
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -1.47%E -0.235%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.25%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -1.47%E -0.235%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.61%EV -4.78%E -0.791%K -0.948%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.53%EV -8.42%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -0.686%E -0.145%K -0.183%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 13:55
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 63.16%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -6.96%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:25
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 63.16%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -6.96%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:25
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:16
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -0.686%E -0.145%K -0.183%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 14:05
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.97%EV -6.96%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 14:05
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 14:15
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.18%E -5.64%K -18.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 14:20
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:50
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -9.44%E -6.60%K -21.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:19
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.44%E -6.60%K -21.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.44%E -6.60%K -21.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.46%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -6.98%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 14:10
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -6.98%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:20
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -6.98%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:10
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 09:21
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 09:21
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 14:10
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 14:10
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 14:10
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 14:04
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.33%EV -9.44%E -6.60%K -21.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.61%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 14:10
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:20
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 14:25
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:15
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 14:00
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 14:01
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 14:00
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -14.28%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 14:10
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -14.28%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -11.71%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:20
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -11.71%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:20
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.98%EV -9.44%E -6.60%K -21.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -11.71%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 14:09
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -8.18%E -5.64%K -18.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.71%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -14.28%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 14:15
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -13.29%E -2.42%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:20
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -13.29%E -2.42%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:46
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -13.29%E -2.42%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -9.47%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -11.34%E -8.10%K -28.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -13.29%E -2.42%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -21.59%E -5.76%K -7.85%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.54%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -14.87%E -2.75%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.38%EV -8.18%E -5.64%K -18.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -16.44%E -3.10%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 14:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-05-02 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.23%0.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.08%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.47%1.8%2026-05-02 14:25
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.73%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.64%1.8%2026-05-02 14:25