Die Schule der Quoten

Nacional v AVS Futebol SAD

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-02 14:30 UTC

Endstand: Nacional 1–2 AVS Futebol SAD

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Nacional (Heim)

Prognose 63.33%1.58faire Quote
EV -4.38%
Vorteil -2.90%
Kelly -8.58%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.51

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
61.13%63.20%63.38%65.76%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.401.481.491.5171.43%67.74%67.11%66.23%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

AVS Futebol SAD (Auswärts)

Prognose 15.77%6.34faire Quote
EV +2.47%
Vorteil +0.381%
Kelly +0.450%
Wachstum +0.011%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.37%15.81%15.74%17.07%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.305.865.906.5018.87%17.06%16.95%15.38%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 20.91%4.78faire Quote
EV -0.686%
Vorteil -0.145%
Kelly -0.183%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.65%20.99%20.89%22.96%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.754.334.304.7526.67%23.07%23.26%21.05%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -10.08%E -7.10%K -23.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +2.47%E +0.381%K +0.450%G +0.011%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -1.73%E -0.368%K -0.468%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 14:00
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.19%EV +0.109%E +0.017%K +0.020%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 14:25
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -1.47%E -0.235%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.25%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -1.47%E -0.235%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.61%EV -4.78%E -0.791%K -0.948%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.53%EV -8.42%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -0.686%E -0.145%K -0.183%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 13:55
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 63.16%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -6.96%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:25
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 63.16%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -6.96%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:25
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:16
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -0.686%E -0.145%K -0.183%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 14:05
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.97%EV -6.96%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 14:05
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 14:15
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.18%E -5.64%K -18.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 14:20
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:50
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -9.44%E -6.60%K -21.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:19
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.44%E -6.60%K -21.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.44%E -6.60%K -21.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.46%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -6.98%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 14:10
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -6.98%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:20
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -6.98%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:10
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 09:21
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 09:21
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 14:10
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 14:10
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 14:10
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 14:04
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.33%EV -9.44%E -6.60%K -21.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.61%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 14:10
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:20
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 14:25
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:15
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 14:00
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 14:01
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 14:00
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -14.28%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 14:10
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -14.28%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -11.71%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:20
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -11.71%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:20
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.98%EV -9.44%E -6.60%K -21.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -11.71%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 14:09
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -8.18%E -5.64%K -18.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.71%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -14.28%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 14:15
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -13.29%E -2.42%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:20
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -13.29%E -2.42%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:46
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -13.29%E -2.42%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -9.47%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -11.34%E -8.10%K -28.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -13.29%E -2.42%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -21.59%E -5.76%K -7.85%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.54%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -14.87%E -2.75%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.38%EV -8.18%E -5.64%K -18.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -16.44%E -3.10%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 14:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-05-02 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.23%0.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.08%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.47%1.8%2026-05-02 14:25
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.73%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.64%1.8%2026-05-02 14:25