Szkoła Kursów

Nacional v AVS Futebol SAD

Początek: 2026-05-02 14:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Nacional 1–2 AVS Futebol SAD

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Nacional (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 63.33%1.58kurs godziwy
EV -4.38%
Przewaga -2.90%
Kelly -8.58%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.51

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
61.13%63.20%63.38%65.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.401.481.491.5171.43%67.74%67.11%66.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

AVS Futebol SAD (Goście)

Prognoza 15.77%6.34kurs godziwy
EV +2.47%
Przewaga +0.381%
Kelly +0.450%
Wzrost +0.011%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
14.37%15.81%15.74%17.07%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.305.865.906.5018.87%17.06%16.95%15.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 20.91%4.78kurs godziwy
EV -0.686%
Przewaga -0.145%
Kelly -0.183%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.65%20.99%20.89%22.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.754.334.304.7526.67%23.07%23.26%21.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -10.08%E -7.10%K -23.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +2.47%E +0.381%K +0.450%G +0.011%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -1.73%E -0.368%K -0.468%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 14:00
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.19%EV +0.109%E +0.017%K +0.020%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV -3.61%E -0.784%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 14:25
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -1.47%E -0.235%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.25%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -1.47%E -0.235%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.61%EV -4.78%E -0.791%K -0.948%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.53%EV -8.42%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -0.686%E -0.145%K -0.183%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 13:55
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 63.16%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -6.96%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:25
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 63.16%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -6.96%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:25
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:16
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -0.686%E -0.145%K -0.183%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 14:05
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.97%EV -6.96%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 14:05
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 14:15
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.18%E -5.64%K -18.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 14:20
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:50
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -9.44%E -6.60%K -21.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.82%E -0.831%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:19
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.44%E -6.60%K -21.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.44%E -6.60%K -21.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.46%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -6.98%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 14:10
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -6.98%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:20
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -6.98%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.14%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:10
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 09:21
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 09:21
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 14:10
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 14:10
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 14:10
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 14:04
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.33%EV -9.44%E -6.60%K -21.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.61%EV -8.56%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 14:10
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:20
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 14:25
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -5.64%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -12.19%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:15
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 14:00
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 14:01
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -16.37%E -4.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 14:00
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -14.28%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 14:10
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.35%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -14.28%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -11.71%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:20
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -11.71%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:20
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.98%EV -9.44%E -6.60%K -21.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -11.71%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -10.10%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 14:09
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -8.18%E -5.64%K -18.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -11.71%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -14.28%E -3.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 14:15
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -13.29%E -2.42%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:20
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -13.29%E -2.42%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:46
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -13.29%E -2.42%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -9.47%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -11.34%E -8.10%K -28.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -13.29%E -2.42%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -21.59%E -5.76%K -7.85%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.54%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -14.87%E -2.75%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.38%EV -8.18%E -5.64%K -18.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -16.44%E -3.10%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 14:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-05-02 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.23%0.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.08%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.47%1.8%2026-05-02 14:25
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.73%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.64%1.8%2026-05-02 14:25