Oddsskolan

Nacional v Alverca

Matchstart: 2026-04-18 14:34 UTC

Slutresultat: Nacional 1–0 Alverca

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Nacional (Hemma)

Prognos 43.22%2.31rättvist odds
EV -3.61%
Fördel -1.62%
Kelly -2.94%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.23

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.98%43.16%43.41%43.91%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.002.172.162.2350.00%46.14%46.30%44.84%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Alverca (Borta)

Prognos 29.82%3.35rättvist odds
EV -1.58%
Fördel -0.479%
Kelly -0.687%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.16%29.92%29.63%31.05%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.883.103.103.3034.72%32.21%32.26%30.30%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.95%3.71rättvist odds
EV -2.17%
Fördel -0.597%
Kelly -0.823%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.63

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.68%26.93%26.95%28.24%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.003.403.403.6333.33%29.39%29.41%27.55%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 42.28%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -5.16%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.06%EV -9.44%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 14:29
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:30
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.71%EV -4.04%E -1.82%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%EV -1.58%E -0.479%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.88%EV -2.70%E -0.749%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 14:29
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -4.48%E -2.02%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.58%EV -2.47%E -0.757%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.65%EV -2.17%E -0.597%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 14:29
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.97%E -0.826%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 14:29
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:29
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:29
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 14:29
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.28%EV -7.56%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:27
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:29
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:30
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:29
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:30
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:30
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:30
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.77%E -2.65%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.79%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 14:30
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.79%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 14:30
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:28
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.41%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 14:30
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.04%E -2.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.41%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 14:30
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 14:29
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:29
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.56%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:30
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -5.75%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.29%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:29
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:30
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 14:29
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 14:29
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:29
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:29
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:30
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:29
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:29
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:29
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -7.50%E -3.51%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -13.75%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:30
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.05%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 14:30
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:30
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 43.42%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -6.95%E -2.23%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:30
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:30
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.54%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:28
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.85%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -12.02%E -4.07%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:30
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.55%E -6.78%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -14.11%E -4.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -19.15%E -6.38%K -9.57%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-04-18 14:30
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-04-18 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-04-18 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-04-18 14:30
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.74%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%3.9%2026-04-18 14:30